Match center
Start
29.04.2026 02:00 UTC
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29.04.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal - Junior
2
:
0
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Junior — 39%
Model estimate: win Sporting Cristal 33.3%, draw 28.0%, win Junior 38.7%. Model favourite — Junior.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sporting Cristal - Junior April 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sporting Cristal.
Line favourite market consensus: Sporting Cristal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.66 / X 3.05 / 2 2.76
- 1X2 market: Sporting Cristal 35.3% / X 30.7% / Junior 34.0%
- Glicko: Sporting Cristal 33.3% / X 28.0% / Junior 38.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 10.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.6%
1
35.3%
X
30.8%
2
34.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5
39.9%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: X
Main outcome
X
Agreement
4/4
Confidence
28.7%
Total
Under 2.5
Score
0:0
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Junior 39%
💹 Market
Sporting Cristal 3531%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Sporting Cristal - Junior
Sporting Cristal: Win 2.90 Sporting Cristal: Draw 3.10 Junior Win: 2.45 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.10 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.70 Individualnyy total golov Sporting Cristal bolshe 1.5: 2.75 Individualnyy total golov Sporting Cristal menshe 1.5: 1.40 Individu…
Form
5/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:0
Events
16
Statistics
26
Lineups
89
min
Event
Player
Team
10'
10' Yellow Card | Gustavo Cazonatti
Gustavo Cazonatti
Sporting Cristal
21'
21' Red Card | J. Pena
J. Pena
Junior
46'
46' Substitution 1 | Gustavo Cazonatti | assist/sub out: G. Távara
Gustavo Cazonatti
Sporting Cristal
49'
49' Yellow Card | S. González
S. González
Sporting Cristal
52'
52' Normal Goal | S. González | assist/sub out: L. Iberico
S. González
Sporting Cristal
57'
57' Substitution 1 | K. Pérez | assist/sub out: C. Barrios
K. Pérez
Junior
57'
57' Substitution 2 | T. Gutiérrez | assist/sub out: L. Muriel
T. Gutierrez
Junior
58'
58' Substitution 3 | T. Gutiérrez | assist/sub out: L. Muriel
T. Gutierrez
Junior
Metric
Sporting Cristal
Junior
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
1.73
0.72
final
Zablokirovannye udary
4
7
final
Shots off target
8
4
final
Shots on target
4
2
final
Udary vsego
16
13
final
Fouls soversheno
16
13
final
Red cards
0
1
final
Zheltye kartochki
2
1
final
Sporting Cristal
#1 M. Silveira, #18 K. Pérez, #21 J. Canchimbo, #22 J. Rivas, #26 Y. Suarez, #33 L. Monzon, #34 J. Guerrero, #80 F. S. Angel Bernal, #98 J. Pena, #1 D. Enríquez, #11 I. Ávila
Junior
#1 D. Enríquez, #5 R. Lutiger, #7 S. González, #8 L. Sosa, #11 I. Ávila, #16 L. Iberico, #19 Y. Yotún, #20 M. Araujo, #23 M. Castro, #55 Gustavo Cazonatti, #90 Cris Silva
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
B. Castrillon
Sporting Cristal
Dribling popytki
4
B. Castrillon
Sporting Cristal
Dribling uspeshno
5
B. Castrillon
Sporting Cristal
Edinoborstva vyigrano
8
B. Castrillon
Sporting Cristal
Fouls na igroke
4
B. Castrillon
Sporting Cristal
Seyvy
0
B. Castrillon
Sporting Cristal
Klyuchevye pasy
4
B. Castrillon
Sporting Cristal
Reyting (staryy)
6.7
B. Castrillon
Sporting Cristal
Otbory vsego
3
C. Bacca
Sporting Cristal
Seyvy
0
C. Barrios
Sporting Cristal
Dribling popytki
1
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Sporting Cristal
32.0%
33.3%
Draw
29.7%
28.0%
draw risk
Junior
38.3%
38.7%
market and model agree
xG
-
1.12 : 1.23
Total 2.5
Over 10.7%
-
Under 89.3%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.02
Draw-trap risk
Favourite-trap risk
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.02
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
33.3% / 28.0% / 38.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,558 / 1,549
Sporting Cristal / Junior
RD
155 / 201
rating uncertainty
HFA: -
HFA mu: -
MoV: -
N: N=1
P: glicko2_expected
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.76
market consensus · no value · model 38.7%
X
3.05
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.67
market consensus · no value · model 33.3%
Double chance
X2
1.44
market consensus · no value · model 66.7%
12
1.35
market consensus · no value · model 72.0%
1X
1.42
market consensus · no value · model 61.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.47
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.18
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.62
market consensus · line only
2 +1
4.88
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.36
market consensus · no value · model 10.7%
Under 2.5
1.57
market consensus · value +40.2% · model 89.3%
Both teams to score
No
1.77
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.96
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.75 36.4% | |
| X | 3.10 32.3% |
| 2.70 37.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.56 39.1% | 2.84 35.2% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.82 35.5% | 2.70 37.0% | |
| X | 3.05 32.8% | 3.06 32.7% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% |
| 2.84 35.2% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.77 36.1% | 2.70 37.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.78 56.2% |
| yes | 2.00 50.0% | 1.97 50.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.97 50.8% | 1.91 52.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.48 67.6% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.44 69.4% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.33 75.2% |
| home_draw | 1.40 71.4% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.44 69.4% |
Match center
Sporting Cristal
Founded
1955
Junior
Founded
1924
Match center
Sporting Cristal
L
W
L
W
D
Sporting Cristal
1:2
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
1:0
Cerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
1:2
Carabobo FC
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
1:0
Carabobo FC
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
0:0
2 de Mayo
2 de Mayo
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
0.8
Scored
0.8
Conceded
7
Points
Junior
L
D
Junior
0:1
Cerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1:1
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
0.5
Scored
1.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySporting Cristal - Junior
Sporting Cristal
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form