Match center
Start
22.05.2026 00:30 UTC
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22.05.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished
CONMEBOL Libertadores
U. Catolica - Barcelona SC
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction U. Catolica - Barcelona SC May 22, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like U. Catolica.
Line favourite market consensus: U. Catolica. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.79 / X 3.44 / 2 4.69
- 1X2 market: U. Catolica 52.6% / X 27.3% / Barcelona SC 20.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 57.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.3%
1
52.6%
X
27.4%
2
20.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.5%
Over 2.5
42.9%
Under 2.5
57.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: U. Catolica
Main outcome
U. Catolica
Agreement
1/1
Confidence
45.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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Match center
U. Catolica - Barcelona SC
Form
4/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:0
Events
16
Statistics
24
Lineups
46
min
Event
Player
Team
9'
9' Card upgrade | W. J. Chala Rosales
J. Chalá
Barcelona SC
10'
10' Red Card | W. J. Chala Rosales
J. Chalá
Barcelona SC
46'
46' Substitution 1 | J. Intriago | assist/sub out: Jonathan Perlaza
J. Intriago
Barcelona SC
46'
46' Substitution 2 | J. Mina | assist/sub out: Luca Sosa
J. Mina
Barcelona SC
63'
63' Substitution 3 | D. Benedetto | assist/sub out: Sergio NGєG±ez
D. Benedetto
Barcelona SC
63'
63' Substitution 4 | Byron Castillo | assist/sub out: Héctor Villalba
B. Castillo
Barcelona SC
72'
72' Yellow Card | José Contreras
J. Contreras
Barcelona SC
75'
75' Substitution 1 | Fernando Zuqui | assist/sub out: Matías Palavecino
F. Zuqui
U. Catolica
Metric
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
3.61
0.1
final
Zablokirovannye udary
7
0
final
Shots off target
15
4
final
Shots on target
9
0
final
Udary vsego
31
4
final
Fouls soversheno
6
7
final
Red cards
0
1
final
Zheltye kartochki
0
3
final
U. Catolica
#1 Vicente Bernedo, #2 Daniel González, #3 E. Mena, #6 Sebastián Arancibia, #7 J. Giani, #8 F. Zuqui, #9 F. Zampedri, #11 C. Montes, #14 J. A. Martinez, #19 B. Ampuero, #20 J. Valencia
Barcelona SC
#1 J. Contreras, #4 G. Vallecilla, #9 D. Benedetto, #12 J. Mina, #18 B. CarabalG, #26 B. Castillo, #28 J. QuiG±Gіnez, #32 Matias Lugo, #33 J. BGЎez, #35 J. Intriago, #44 J. ChalGЎ
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
B. Carabalí
Barcelona SC
football.player.assists
0
B. Carabalí
Barcelona SC
football.player.minutes_played
90
B. Castillo
Barcelona SC
football.player.assists
0
B. Castillo
Barcelona SC
football.player.minutes_played
63
D. Benedetto
Barcelona SC
football.player.assists
0
D. Benedetto
Barcelona SC
football.player.minutes_played
63
G. Vallecilla
Barcelona SC
football.player.assists
0
G. Vallecilla
Barcelona SC
football.player.minutes_played
90
H. Villalba
Barcelona SC
football.player.assists
0
H. Villalba
Barcelona SC
football.player.minutes_played
27
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
1.88
Fonbet · line only
1
1.03
Fonbet · line only
2
4.69
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.87
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
8.50
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
4.50
Fonbet · line only
2 0
7.90
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.16
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.04
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.21
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.66
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.06
Fonbet · line only
Yes
6.90
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 57.1% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.70 58.8% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 4.90 20.4% | 4.84 20.7% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.80 20.8% | 5.00 20.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Superbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.73 57.8% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.74 57.5% |
| yes | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.01 49.8% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.94 51.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.00 50.0% | 2.01 49.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.10 47.6% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.29 77.5% |
| home_draw | 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.14 87.7% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.08 92.6% | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.05 95.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.20 83.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.40 71.4% | 1.34 74.6% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.97 50.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.50 11.8% | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.88 34.7% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.06 94.3% | — |
Match center
U. Catolica
D
W
W
L
U. Catolica
0:0
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
2:1
Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
2:1
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
1:2
Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.3
Scored
1.0
Conceded
7
Points
Barcelona SC
W
L
L
L
W
Barcelona SC
1:0
Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
1:2
U. Catolica
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
0:3
Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
0:1
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
1:0
Botafogo
Botafogo
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
0.6
Scored
1.2
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyU. Catolica - Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
1
matches total
U. Catolica: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Barcelona SC: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
U. Catolica 2:1 (30.04 00:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 30.04 00:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
U. Catolica
2:1
Barcelona SC
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