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CONMEBOL Libertadores World

Group B. 3 round 30.04.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction

30.04.2026 02:00 UTC Group B. 3 round

Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Universitario - Club Nacional

World Football

Universitario

4 : 2

Finished

Club Nacional

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Universitario - Club Nacional April 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Universitario.

Line favourite market consensus: Universitario. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 2.99 / 2 3.35
1X2 market: Universitario 40.7% / X 31.3% / Club Nacional 28.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 61.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.8%

1 40.7%

X 31.3%

2 28.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%

Over 2.5 38.4%

Under 2.5 61.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.04.2026 02:00 UTC

Match center

Universitario - Club Nacional

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Universitario - Nasonal M, 30 aprelya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group B. 3 round. Universitario - Nasonal M, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.35 market consensus · line only

X 2.99 market consensus · line only

1 2.30 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.58 market consensus · line only

12 1.35 market consensus · line only

1X 1.31 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.61 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.40 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.49 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.45 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.71 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.02 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.35 42.6%
X	3.00 33.3%
	3.40 29.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	2.32 43.1%	2.32 43.1%	2.20 45.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%
X	3.00 33.3%	3.06 32.7%	2.90 34.5%	3.00 33.3%	3.05 32.8%	3.00 33.3%
	3.25 30.8%	3.52 28.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.50 28.6%	3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.72 58.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.68 59.5%	1.77 56.5%
yes	2.00 50.0%	2.03 49.3%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.03 49.3%	1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.53 65.4%	1.65 60.6%	1.57 63.7%
home_away	1.33 75.2%	1.39 71.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%
home_draw	1.30 76.9%	1.31 76.3%	1.29 77.5%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%

Match center

Universitario

L D D L D

15.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Universitario 0:2 Coquimbo Unido

08.04 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Universitario 0:0 Deportes Tolima

22.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Universitario 0:0 Palmeiras

15.08 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Universitario 0:4 Palmeiras

28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Universitario 1:1 River Plate

0 Wins

3 Draws

2 Losses

0.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

3 Points

Club Nacional

W D W L W

14.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Club Nacional 3:1 Deportes Tolima

08.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Club Nacional 1:1 Coquimbo Unido

28.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Club Nacional 1:0 Atletico Nacional

15.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Club Nacional 0:2 Internacional

07.05 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Club Nacional 3:1 Bahia

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.0 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyUniversitario - Club Nacional

Universitario

0 matches total

Club Nacional

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Universitario

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Club Nacional

2 Games 2

0 Wins 1

1 Draws 1

1 Losses 0

0 Scored 4

2 Conceded 2

1 Points 4

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

3.5 Shots on target 4

iversitario Group B. 5 round Goly Maksi Gomes 0:1 14' Cain Jair Fara Khayro Koncha 1 40' Aleks Valera 2:1 46' Maximiliano Silvera 2 71' Lisandro Alzugaray 3:2 81' Khose Karabali Ektor Fertoli 4:2 90+1' Nakazaniya Cain Jair Fara 18' Lucas Rodriguez 21' Lucas Rodriguez 35' Maksi Gomes 43' Khorkhe Murrugarra 62' Luis Mekhiya 75' Lisandro Alzugaray 82' Khesus Kastilo 88'

Universitario Nasonal M 2 Games 2 0 Wins 1 Draws 1 Losses 0 Scored 4 2 Conceded 2 1 Points 4 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 3.5 Udary v stvor 4 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 6 Uglovye 6.5 1.5 Offsaydy 0.5 16.5 Foly 12.5 51 % vladeniya myachom 37 1 Warnings 2.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 21.05.2026 Cup Libertadores — 2026 Nasonal M –:– Universitario Group B. 5 round Goly Maksi Gomes 0:1 14' Cain Jair Fara Khayro Koncha 1 40' Aleks Valera 2:1 46' Maximiliano Silvera 2 71' Lisandro Alzugaray 3:2 81' Khose Karabali Ektor Fertoli 4:2 90+1' Nakazaniya Cain Jair Fara 18' Lucas Rodriguez 21' Lucas Rodriguez 35' Maksi Gomes 43' Khorkhe Murrugarra 62' Luis Mekhiya 75' Lisandro Alzugaray 82' Khesus Kastilo 88'