CONMEBOL Libertadores
Universitario - Coquimbo Unido
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Universitario - Coquimbo Unido April 15, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Universitario.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.96 / X 3.16 / 2 4.15
- 1X2 market: Universitario 47.7% / X 29.7% / Coquimbo Unido 22.6%
- Glicko: Universitario - / X 100.0% / Coquimbo Unido -
- Total 2.5: over probability 50.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: X
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
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Universitario - Coquimbo Unido
Universitario: Win 1.95 Universitario: Draw 3.40 Coquimbo Unido Win: 3.80 Obschiy total golov bolshe 1.5: 1.50 Obschiy total golov menshe 1.5: 2.50 Individualnyy total golov Universitario bolshe 1.5: 2.50 Individualnyy total golov Universitario menshe 1.5: 1.50 Individualn…
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% |
| 4.00 25.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.93 51.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.91 52.4% | |
| X | 3.15 31.8% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.23 31.0% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
| 4.30 23.3% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.32 23.2% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.30 23.3% | 4.20 23.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.60 62.5% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% |
| yes | 2.20 45.5% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.18 45.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.75 57.1% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.20 83.3% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% |
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
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Full head-to-head historyUniversitario - Coquimbo Unido
Match history
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form