PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
28.07.2026 20:00 UTC
28.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Not started

Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

Banfield - Sarmiento

Football
B
Banfield
- : -
Not started
S
Sarmiento
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Banfield — 47%

Pure model vs market (1 · Banfield): model 57% · market 46% Δ +11 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Banfield46.6%
X · draw30.7%
2 · Sarmiento22.6%

Model estimate: win Banfield 46.6%, draw 30.7%, win Sarmiento 22.6%. Model favourite — Banfield.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Sarmiento (odds2.31) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Sarmento Zhunin: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.31)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Banfield - Sarmiento July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Banfield.

Line favourite market consensus: Banfield. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.06 / X 2.97 / 2 4.11
  • 1X2 market: Banfield 45.5% / X 31.6% / Sarmiento 22.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.5%
1 45.6%
X 31.6%
2 22.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Banfield 3 : 1 Sarmiento
11.34
X4.60
27.24

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 20:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Banfield 47%
💹 Market Banfield 4545%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Banfield - Sarmiento

Football, Banfild - Atletiko Sarmento, 29 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Banfild - Atletiko Sarmento, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Argentina po futbolu (Primera) 2026, Clausura. 2 round.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Banfield 45.9% 46.6% market and model agree
Draw 31.4% 30.7% draw risk
Sarmiento 22.7% 22.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 46.6% / 30.7% / 22.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,240 Banfield / Sarmiento
RD 350 / 256 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 728-1,753 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.12 market consensus · no value · model 22.6%
X 2.97 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.06 market consensus · no value · model 46.6%
Double chance
12 1.36 market consensus · no value · model 69.3%
1X 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 77.4%
X2 1.74 market consensus · no value · model 53.4%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.82 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.39 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.61 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.23 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.04 49.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8%
X 2.92 34.3% 2.98 33.6% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3%
4.20 23.8% 4.22 23.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.35 23.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.61 62.1%
yes 2.23 44.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%
1x 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6%
x2 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 5.75 17.4%
0_1 7.50 13.3%
0_2 17.00 5.9%
0_3 51.00 2.0%
0_4 126.00 0.8%
1_0 4.50 22.2%
1_1 5.25 19.1%
1_2 12.00 8.3%
1_3 41.00 2.4%
1_4 101.00 1.0%
2_0 7.00 14.3%
2_1 7.50 13.3%
2_2 15.00 6.7%
2_3 51.00 2.0%
3_0 15.00 6.7%
3_1 15.00 6.7%
3_2 34.00 2.9%
3_3 76.00 1.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-2-1, avg 1.0 gls
2026-01-30 · Banfild 0:1 Atletiko Sarmento
2024-12-14 · Banfild 1:1 Atletiko Sarmento
2023-07-29 · Banfild 0:0 Atletiko Sarmento
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.16 (Betcity) · X 3 (Pari) · 2 4.3 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2 3 4.3
Winline 2.12 2.9 3.95
Fonbet 2 3 4.3
Betcity 2.16 2.9 3.9
Liga Stavok 2.07 2.95 4
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Banfield
L
24.07 22:15 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Banfield 0:3 Atletiko KhurakanAtletiko Khurakan
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Sarmiento
L
23.07 20:30 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Sarmiento 2:3 Argentinos Khuniors
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBanfield - Sarmiento

Banfield
0 matches total
Sarmiento
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Banfield
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Sarmiento
Banfield Team comparison Sarmiento
17 Games 17
5 Wins 6
3 Draws 1
9 Losses 10
17 Scored 15
20 Conceded 23
18 Points 19
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 9
3.35 Shots on target 3.35
name: 'commentsWidget',
params: {
appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'],
xid: 'match_1291284' } }); ; ; ; ; Argentina — Primera Turnirnaya Standings

Banfild Atletiko Sarmento 17 Games 17 5 Wins 6 3 Draws 1 9 Losses 10 17 Scored 15 20 Conceded 23 18 Points 19 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 9 3.35 Udary v stvor 3.35 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.53 Uglovye 3.65 2.24 Offsaydy 1.65 10.53 Foly 13.06 40.94 % vladeniya myachom 48.65 2.53 Warnings 3.29 0.18 Sendoffs 0.24 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 38% 62% 0% Double chance 50% 19% 31% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1291284' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Argentina — Primera Turnirnaya Standings