Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Barranquilla FC - Chacarita Juniors (r)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Barranquilla FC — 50%
Model estimate: win Barranquilla FC 49.7%, draw 19.8%, win Chacarita Juniors (r) 30.5%. Model favourite — Barranquilla FC.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Barrankilya: probability 70% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.43)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Barranquilla FC - Chacarita Juniors (r) July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.50 / X 3.50 / 2 1.85
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Barranquilla FC - Chacarita Juniors (r)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% |
| 1x | 1.97 50.8% | 1.85 54.1% |
| x2 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.19 84.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 64.1% | — | |
| — | 3.00 33.3% | |
| 2.30 43.5% | — | |
| — | 1.34 74.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.92 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.79 55.9% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 4.50 22.2% | 4.20 23.8% | |
| X | 3.50 28.6% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 1.74 57.5% | 1.85 54.1% |
Full head-to-head historyBarranquilla FC - Chacarita Juniors (r)
Overall statistics
Match history
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The Barranquilla FC - Chacarita Juniors (r) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form