Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Central Cordoba de Santiago go head-to-head with San Lorenzo on August 2, 2026 in the Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Central Cordoba de Santiago 0-1-1, San Lorenzo 0-0-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 San Lorenzo — 38%
Pure model vs market (2 · San Lorenzo): model 32% · market 37% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Central Cordoba de Santiago 29.9%, draw 31.9%, win San Lorenzo 38.2%. Model favourite — San Lorenzo.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.31 76.3% | 1.38 72.5% |
| 1x | 1.44 69.4% | 1.46 68.5% |
| x2 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.36 73.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 2.15 46.5% | 2.03 49.3% | |
| 1.59 62.9% | 1.73 57.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.59 62.9% | 1.53 65.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.15 46.5% | 2.40 41.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 3.10 32.3% | 3.00 33.3% | |
| X | 2.77 36.1% | 2.90 34.5% |
| 2.33 42.9% | 2.60 38.5% |
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Atletiko Tukuman
Khimnasiya Mendosa
San Lorenzo
Khimnasiya Mendosa
Full head-to-head historyCentral Cordoba de Santiago - San Lorenzo
The Central Cordoba de Santiago - San Lorenzo breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
