Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

28.07.2026 21:15 UTC

Not started

Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

Deportes Quindio - Deportes Tolima

Football

Deportes Quindio

- : -

Not started

Deportes Tolima

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Deportes Tolima — 43%

Pure model vs market (2 · Deportes Tolima): model 47% · market 42% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Deportes Quindio24.0%

X · draw32.5%

2 · Deportes Tolima43.5%

Model estimate: win Deportes Quindio 24.0%, draw 32.5%, win Deportes Tolima 43.5%. Model favourite — Deportes Tolima.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Deportes Tolima (odds2.18) Score 0:1 confidence 50%

• Model backs Tolima: probability 50% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.18)
• edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
• Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportes Quindio - Deportes Tolima July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Deportes Tolima. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.00 / X 2.77 / 2 2.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%

1 23.9%

X 34.5%

2 41.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Deportes Quindio 1 : 1 Deportes Tolima

13.95

X2.70

22.11

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 28.07.2026 21:15 UTC

Match center

Deportes Quindio - Deportes Tolima

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line

More needed

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Deportes Quindio 23.5% 24.0%

Draw 33.2% 32.5% draw risk

Deportes Tolima 43.3% 43.5% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 24.0% / 32.5% / 43.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,400 / 1,660 Deportes Quindio / Deportes Tolima

RD 291 / 250 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 818-1,983 / 1,160-2,159 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.16 market consensus · no value · model 43.5%

X 2.74 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 3.82 market consensus · no value · model 24.0%

Double chance

12 1.40 market consensus · no value · model 67.5%

1X 1.60 market consensus · no value · model 56.5%

X2 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 76.0%

Handicap

2 0 1.47 market consensus · line only

1 0 2.52 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.56 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.56 64.1%
yes	2.29 43.7%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.39 71.9%	1.41 70.9%
1x	1.65 60.6%	1.55 64.5%
x2	1.20 83.3%	1.24 80.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	5.10 19.6%
X	1.73 57.8%
	2.98 33.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 0.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 1	2.27 44.1%
Under 0.5	2.10 47.6%
Under 1	1.57 63.7%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 3.0 gls

2026-07-21 · Kindio 1:2 Deportes Tolima

Source: ruscore

Odds · 2 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3 (Winline) · X 3.4 (Winline) · 2 2.16 (Liga Stavok)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Winline	3	3.4	2.15
Liga Stavok	3	3.4	2.16

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Deportes Quindio

21.07 21:00 UTC Colombia: Cup Kolumbii - Pervyy etap - Playoff

Deportes Quindio 1:2 Tolima

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

0 Points

Deportes Tolima

21.07 21:00 UTC Colombia: Cup Kolumbii - Pervyy etap - Playoff

Deportes Tolima 2:1 Kindio

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyDeportes Quindio - Deportes Tolima

Deportes Quindio

1 matches total

Deportes Tolima

Deportes Quindio: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Deportes Tolima: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Tolima 1:2 (21.07 21:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 21.07 21:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.07 21:00 UTC Colombia: Cup Kolumbii - Pervyy etap - Playoff

Kindio

1:2

Tolima