Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Huracan - Atletico Tucuman
Huracan face Atletico Tucuman on August 3, 2026 in the Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Huracan 1-0-1, Atletico Tucuman 0-2-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Huracan — 54%
Pure model vs market (1 · Huracan): model 31% · market 47% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Huracan 54.2%, draw 21.9%, win Atletico Tucuman 23.8%. Model favourite — Huracan.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Atletiko Tukuman: probability 50% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.67)
- • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Huracan - Atletico Tucuman August 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.05 / X 3.00 / 2 4.45
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga Profesional ArgentinaHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Huracan - Atletico Tucuman
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.56 64.1% |
| yes | 2.33 42.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% |
| 1x | 1.18 84.8% | 1.21 82.6% |
| x2 | 1.75 57.1% | 1.72 58.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.85 35.1% | |
| X | 1.87 53.5% |
| 5.20 19.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.26 44.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
Huracan
Independente Rivadaviya
Atletico Tucuman
Sentral Kordoba
Independente Rivadaviya
Full head-to-head historyHuracan - Atletico Tucuman
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Huracan - Atletico Tucuman breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form