Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Huracan - Atletico Tucuman
Huracan take on Atletico Tucuman on August 4, 2026 in the Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Huracan 1-0-1, Atletico Tucuman 0-2-0. The market favourite is Huracan at roughly 45%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Huracan — 45%
Pure model vs market (1 · Huracan): model 31% · market 45% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Huracan 44.6%, draw 31.2%, win Atletico Tucuman 24.2%. Model favourite — Huracan.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Atletiko Tukuman: probability 50% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.67)
- • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Huracan - Atletico Tucuman August 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Huracan.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.07 / X 2.96 / 2 4.10
- 1X2 market: Huracan 45.3% / X 31.7% / Atletico Tucuman 23.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 16 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga Profesional ArgentinaHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Huracan - Atletico Tucuman
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What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.12 47.2% | 2.04 49.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | |
| X | 3.05 32.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.00 33.3% |
| 3.70 27.0% | 4.38 22.8% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.30 23.3% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.10 24.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.56 64.1% |
| yes | 2.33 42.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.37 73.0% | 1.36 73.5% |
| 1x | 1.20 83.3% | 1.21 82.6% |
| x2 | 1.70 58.8% | 1.72 58.1% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 0_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 0_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 4.50 22.2% |
| 1_1 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_3 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 3_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_1 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 3_2 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 3_3 | 81.00 1.2% |
Huracan
Independente Rivadaviya
Atletico Tucuman
Sentral Kordoba
Independente Rivadaviya
Full head-to-head historyHuracan - Atletico Tucuman
Match history
Urakan Atletiko Tukuman 20 Games 18 7 Wins 4 7 Draws 6 Losses 8 22 Scored 17 18 Conceded 20 28 Points 18 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 7.25 Shots on goal 6.33 3.7 Udary v stvor 3.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.85 Uglovye 4.61 1.2 Offsaydy 2 12.5 Foly 12.44 51.5 % vladeniya myachom 43.56 2.9 Warnings 2.33 0.35 Sendoffs 0.17 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Diego Ernan Martines Glavnye trenery No dannykh CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1291254' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Argentina — Primera Turnirnaya Standings
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form