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Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
31.07.2026 21:00 UTC
31.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Not started

Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings

Estudiantes L.P. - Defensa Y Justicia

Football
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
- : -
Not started
Defensa Y Justicia
Defensa Y Justicia
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Estudiantes L.P. — 56%

Pure model vs market (1 · Estudiantes L.P.): model 63% · market 56% Δ +7 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Estudiantes L.P. ✓ Pick56.3%
X · draw27.2%
2 · Defensa Y Justicia16.5%

Model estimate: win Estudiantes L.P. 56.3%, draw 27.2%, win Defensa Y Justicia 16.5%. Model favourite — Estudiantes L.P..

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Estudiantes L.P. (odds1.46) Score 2:0 confidence 68%
  • • Model backs Estudiantes: probability 68% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.46)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Estudiantes L.P. - Defensa Y Justicia July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Estudiantes L.P.. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 3.40 / 2 5.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 ✓ Pick 55.9%
X 28.0%
2 16.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Profesional Argentina
League table
Estudiantes L.P.
#931 ptsGP 189-4-519:10
ARRAY
Defensa Y Justicia
#1923 ptsGP 185-8-521:23
ARRAY
Best price across 13 books
1 1.73 Unibet
X 3.48 Marathonbet
2 6.50 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Estudiantes L.P.
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.19 Conceded 0.71 xG 1.15 xGA 0.84 Corners 4.3
Defensa Y Justicia
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.40 Conceded 1.80 xG 0.97 xGA 1.06 Corners 5.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Estudiantes L.P.
Rating 1562 xG 1.36 Win 49%
Defensa Y Justicia
Rating 1494 xG 0.82 Win 23%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 55.9% @ 1.70 / X 28.0% @ 3.40 / 2 16.1% @ 5.90
Match center

Estudiantes L.P. - Defensa Y Justicia

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Estudiantes L.P. 55.9% 56.3% market and model agree
Draw 27.7% 27.2% draw risk
Defensa Y Justicia 16.4% 16.5%
xG - 1.36 : 0.82

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 56.3% / 27.2% / 16.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,605 / 1,160 Estudiantes / Defensa i Khustisiya
RD 181 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,243-1,966 / 577-1,742 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.70 market consensus · no value · model 16.5%
X 3.38 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.68 market consensus · no value · model 56.3%
Double chance
12 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 72.8%
1X 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 83.5%
X2 2.09 market consensus · no value · model 43.7%
Handicap
2 +0.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.90 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.54 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.38 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.54 64.9%
yes 2.38 42.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5%
1x 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5%
x2 2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.39 41.8%
X 1.96 51.0%
6.60 15.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.53 65.4%
Under 0.5 2.34 42.7%
Match center
Estudiantes L.P.
W
26.07 18:15 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Estudiantes L.P. 2:1 IndependenteIndependente
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Defensa Y Justicia
D D
29.07 18:00 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Defensa Y Justicia 0:0 Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
23.07 22:45 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Defensa Y Justicia 1:1 Aldosivi
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
2 Points