Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Estudiantes L.P. meet Defensa Y Justicia on August 1, 2026 in the Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Estudiantes L.P. 1-0-0, Defensa Y Justicia 0-2-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Estudiantes L.P. — 56%
Pure model vs market (1 · Estudiantes L.P.): model 63% · market 58% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Estudiantes L.P. 56.2%, draw 27.1%, win Defensa Y Justicia 16.7%. Model favourite — Estudiantes L.P..
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
football, Estudiantes LP - Defensa i Khustisiya, 2 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Estudiantes LP - Defensa i Khustisiya, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Argentina po futbolu (Primera) 2026, Clausura. 3-y Round.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.53 65.4% |
| yes | 2.39 41.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% |
| 1x | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% |
| x2 | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.24 44.6% | |
| X | 2.00 50.0% |
| 7.40 13.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 1 | 2.31 43.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.34 42.7% |
| Under 1 | 1.55 64.5% |
Estudiantes L.P.
Independente
Defensa Y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra
Aldosivi
Full head-to-head historyEstudiantes L.P. - Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes LP Defensa and Khustisiya 18 Games 18 9 Wins 5 4 Draws 8 5 Losses 5 19 Scored 21 10 Conceded 23 31 Points 23 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 14 Shots on goal 11.5 3.72 Udary v stvor 3.78 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.11 Uglovye 4.22 1.11 Offsaydy 1.56 10.5 Foly 8.78 52.83 % vladeniya myachom 52.22 2.72 Warnings 1.78 0.11 Sendoffs 0.17 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Aleksander Medina Glavnye trenery No dannykh Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 100% 0% 0% Double chance 50% 50% 0% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1291256' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Argentina — Primera Turnirnaya Standings
The Estudiantes L.P. - Defensa Y Justicia breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
