Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Khimnasiya i Esgrima - River Plate
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 River Plate — 45%
Pure model vs market (2 · River Plate): model 51% · market 44% Δ +7 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Khimnasiya i Esgrima 24.7%, draw 30.6%, win River Plate 44.6%. Model favourite — River Plate.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs River Pleyt: probability 62% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.61)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Khimnasiya i Esgrima - River Plate July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.90 / X 3.10 / 2 2.17
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT
AI consensus:2
| AI | 1 | X | 2 | Score | Total goals | BTTS | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 22% | 32% | 46% | 0:1 | Under 2.5 | No | X2 and Under 2.5 |
| Claude | 27% | 33% | 40% | 1:1 | Under 2.5 | No | Under 2.5 |
| Qwen | 78% | 15% | 7% | 2:0 | Under 2.5 | No | Win DAC Dunayska Streda |
| Kimi | 25% | 31% | 44% | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| GLM 5.2 | 25% | 30% | 45% | 1:1 | Under 2.5 | Yes | 1X |
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Khimnasiya i Esgrima - River Plate
Football, Khimnasiya and Esgrima LP - River Pleyt, 30 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Khimnasiya and Esgrima LP - River Pleyt, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Argentina po futbolu (Primera) 2026, Clausura. 2 round.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.64 61.0% |
| yes | 2.17 46.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.35 74.1% | 1.34 74.6% |
| 1x | 1.67 59.9% | 1.71 58.5% |
| x2 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.23 81.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.63 21.6% | |
| X | 1.90 52.6% |
| 2.96 33.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.31 43.3% |
Rasing
River Plate
Barrakas Sentral
Full head-to-head historyKhimnasiya i Esgrima - River Plate
Match history
Khimnasiya and Esgrima LP River Pleyt 19 Games 21 9 Wins 12 2 Draws 2 8 Losses 7 21 Scored 29 23 Conceded 18 29 Points 38 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 9.75 Shots on goal 15 3.53 Udary v stvor 4.81 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.95 Uglovye 5.48 1.79 Offsaydy 1.48 11.37 Foly 11.62 45.84 % vladeniya myachom 65.1 3.16 Warnings 2.43 0.16 Sendoffs 0.14 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery No dannykh Glavnye trenery Eduardo Koudet Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 0% 50% 50% Double chance 25% 25% 50% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1291296' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Argentina — Primera Turnirnaya Standings
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form