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Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
31.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Not started

Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

Racing Santander - Tigre

Football
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
- : -
Not started
Tigre
Tigre
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Tigre49%

1 · Racing Santander31.4%
X · draw20.0%
2 · Tigre48.6%

Model estimate: win Racing Santander 31.4%, draw 20.0%, win Tigre 48.6%. Model favourite — Tigre.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Tigre (odds2.53) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Tigre: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.53)
  • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Racing Santander - Tigre July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Racing Santander. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.03 / X 3.10 / 2 4.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 47.3%
X 30.9%
2 21.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Match center

Racing Santander - Tigre

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Racing Santander - 31.4%
Draw - 20.0% draw risk
Tigre - 48.6% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.4% / 20.0% / 48.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,290 / 1,439 Racing Santander / Tigre
RD 153 / 231 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 983-1,596 / 978-1,900 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.32 market consensus · weak value +109.8% · model 48.6%
X 3.03 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.99 market consensus · no value · model 31.4%
Double chance
12 1.35 market consensus · value +8.0% · model 80.0%
1X 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 51.4%
X2 1.78 market consensus · value +22.1% · model 68.6%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.90 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.38 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.57 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.31 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.57 63.7%
yes 2.31 43.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.35 74.1% 1.34 74.6%
1x 1.19 84.0% 1.19 84.0%
x2 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.85 35.1%
X 1.87 53.5%
5.20 19.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 0.5 2.26 44.3%
Match center
Racing Santander
D W
28.07 22:15 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Racing Santander 0:0 Rosario Sentral
24.07 20:00 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Racing Santander 2:1 Khimnasiya i Esgrima
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Tigre
L
25.07 15:45 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Tigre 0:1 Estudiantes Rio Kuarto
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRacing Santander - Tigre

Racing Santander
0 matches total
Tigre
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history