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01.08.2026 19:45 UTC
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01.08.2026 19:45 UTC
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Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Sarmiento Junin - Independ. Rivadavia
S
Sarmiento Junin
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:
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Not started
Sarmiento Junin take on Independ. Rivadavia on August 1, 2026 in the Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Sarmiento Junin 0-0-2, Independ. Rivadavia 1-1-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Independ. Rivadavia — 60%
Model estimate: win Sarmiento Junin 22.5%, draw 17.5%, win Independ. Rivadavia 60.0%. Model favourite — Independ. Rivadavia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Independ. Rivadavia (odds2.04)
Score 0:1
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Independente Rivadaviya: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.04)
- • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sarmiento Junin - Independ. Rivadavia August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga Profesional ArgentinaLeague table
Sarmiento Junin
Independ. Rivadavia
Best price
across 13 books
1
3.30
Betano
X
3.10
Unibet
2
2.47
Pinnacle
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Sarmiento Junin
W-D-L 3-1-6
Scored 1.11
Conceded 1.72
xG 0.82
xGA 1.22
Corners 3.3
Independ. Rivadavia
W-D-L 6-3-1
Scored 1.89
Conceded 0.80
xG 1.10
xGA 0.99
Corners 5.0
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Sarmiento Junin
Rating 1433
xG 1.03
Win 32%
Independ. Rivadavia
Rating 1607
xG 1.18
Win 39%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Sarmiento Junin - Independ. Rivadavia
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Sarmiento Junin
-
22.5%
Draw
-
17.5%
draw risk
Independ. Rivadavia
-
60.0%
model pick
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
22.5% / 17.5% / 60.0%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,210 / 1,616
Sarmiento / Independiente Rivadavia
RD
237 / 249
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
736-1,684 / 1,118-2,114
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Match center
Sarmiento Junin
L
L
Sarmiento Junin
2:3
Banfild
Sarmiento Junin
2:3
Argentinos Khuniors
0
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
0
Points
Independ. Rivadavia
W
D
Independ. Rivadavia
2:1
Atletiko Khurakan
Atletiko Khurakan
Independ. Rivadavia
0:0
Atletiko Tukuman
Atletiko Tukuman
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.5
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySarmiento Junin - Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Sarmiento Junin - Independ. Rivadavia breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form