Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Sarmiento Junin meet Independ. Rivadavia on August 2, 2026 in the Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Sarmiento Junin 0-0-2, Independ. Rivadavia 1-1-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Independ. Rivadavia — 60%
Model estimate: win Sarmiento Junin 22.5%, draw 17.5%, win Independ. Rivadavia 60.0%. Model favourite — Independ. Rivadavia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.71 58.5% |
| yes | 2.06 48.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.36 73.5% | 1.38 72.5% |
| 1x | 1.61 62.1% | 1.53 65.4% |
| x2 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.27 23.4% | |
| X | 1.94 51.6% |
| 3.04 32.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.31 43.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.55 64.5% |
Independ. Rivadavia
Atletiko Khurakan
Atletiko Tukuman
Full head-to-head historySarmiento Junin - Independ. Rivadavia
The Sarmiento Junin - Independ. Rivadavia breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
