Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Union Santa Fe take on Lanus on August 6, 2026 in the Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Union Santa Fe 0-1-1, Lanus 1-1-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Union Santa Fe — 49%
Model estimate: win Union Santa Fe 48.7%, draw 19.9%, win Lanus 31.4%. Model favourite — Union Santa Fe.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.32 75.8% | 1.36 73.5% |
| 1x | 1.27 78.7% | 1.32 75.8% |
| x2 | 1.54 64.9% | 1.53 65.4% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 62.9% | 1.63 61.4% | |
| 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.52 65.8% | — |
| Over 2.5 | — | 2.48 40.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.40 41.7% | — |
| Under 2.5 | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 2.23 44.8% | 2.40 41.7% | |
| X | 2.95 33.9% | 3.00 33.3% |
| 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winline | 2.19 | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Betcity | 2.28 | 2.9 | 3.6 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.14 | 2.95 | 3.75 |
Khimnasiya Mendosa
Lanus
Instituto
San-Lorenso
Full head-to-head historyUnion Santa Fe - Lanus
The Union Santa Fe - Lanus breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
