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Italy. Serie B
Italy. Serie B
14.08.2026 18:45 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
14.08.2026 18:45 UTC
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Italy. Serie B

Monza - Avellino

Football
Monza
Monza
- : -
Not started
Avellino
Avellino

Monza meet Avellino on August 14, 2026 in the Italy. Serie B.

Recent form (W-D-L): Monza 3-1-1, Avellino 3-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Monza — 52%

1 · Monza52.1%
X · draw19.4%
2 · Avellino28.5%

Model estimate: win Monza 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Avellino 28.5%. Model favourite — Monza.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Monza (odds1.68) Score 1:0 Under 2.5 (odds1.80) confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Montsa: probability 50% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.68)
  • • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monza - Avellino August 14, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Monza. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / X 3.90 / 2 5.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2% 4 books · best price +1.5%
1 56.2%
X 24.1%
2 19.7%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.53 → 1.53
1X2 X 4.20 → 4.20
1X2 P2 6.30 → 6.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Coppa Italia
Best price across 11 books
1 1.66 Pinnacle
X 4.00 Bet365
2 5.40 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Monza
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.59 xG 1.47 xGA 1.03 Corners 5.7
Avellino
W-D-L 2-1-5 Scored 0.88 Conceded 1.84 xG 0.92 xGA 1.61 Corners 6.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Monza
56%
1.70
Draw
24%
3.90
Avellino
19%
5.20
Handicap
Monza (0)
73%
1.28
Avellino (0)
27%
3.50
Total
Over 2.5
47%
2.05
Under 2.5
53%
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
48%
1.94
No
52%
1.82

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Participant opinions
173 predictions Choose an outcome
1 91% 158
X 7% 13
2 1% 2
Match center
Stadium Yu-Pauer (Montsa, Italy)
Start 14.08.2026 18:45 UTC
Market 1 57.0% @ 1.65 / X 24.1% @ 3.90 / 2 18.8% @ 5.00
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Monza 91%
📐 Math model Monza 52%
💹 Market Monza 56%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Monza - Avellino

football, Montsa - Avellino, 14 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Montsa - Avellino, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Cup Italy po futbolu 2026/27, 1/32 finala.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 5 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Monza 62.2% 52.1% market and model agree
Draw 22.7% 19.4% draw risk
Avellino 15.1% 28.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.1% / 19.4% / 28.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Monza / Avellino
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.00 Fonbet · no value · model 28.5%
X 3.90 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.65 Fonbet · no value · model 52.1%
Double chance
12 1.23 Fonbet · no value · model 80.6%
1X 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 71.5%
X2 2.17 Fonbet · weak value +3.9% · model 47.9%
Handicap
2 -1 1.67 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.13 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.93 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3%
yes 1.93 51.8% 1.94 51.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0%
x2 2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1% 2.17 46.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.23 44.8%
X 2.25 44.4%
5.40 18.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.85 54.1%
Under 1 1.85 54.1%
Match center
Monza Team form Avellino
10 Matches 10
22 Goals 42
2.2 Per match 4.2
5 Wins 6
3 Draws 0
2 Losses 4

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-1, avg 3.0 gls
2026-02-08 · Montsa 2:1 Avellino
2025-09-12 · Montsa 1:2 Avellino
Source: ruscore

Odds · 2 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.63 (Liga Stavok) · X 3.8 (Winline) · 2 5.2 (Liga Stavok)
Bookmaker1X2
Winline 1.61 3.8 5
Liga Stavok 1.63 3.8 5.2
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Monza
D L W W L
2026-08-07 Club Friendly Games 2026
Monza Monza 3:3 Padova
2026-07-30 Club Friendly Games 2026
Monza Monza 1:3 Aris Thessaloniki
2026-07-24 Club Friendly Games 2026
Monza Galatasaray 0:2 Monza
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
Monza Monza 4:3 Pro Vercelli
2026-05-29 Serie B 25/26, Promotion Playoffs
Monza Monza 0:2 Catanzaro
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.2 Conceded
7 Points
Avellino
D L W W L
2026-08-08 Club Friendly Games 2026
Avellino 1:1 Torino Avellino
2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Lazio 6:3 Avellino Avellino
2026-07-26 Club Friendly Games 2026
Sambenedeettese 0:5 Avellino Avellino
2026-07-19 Club Friendly Games 2026
Avellino 24:0 Castel Sangro Avellino
2026-05-12 Serie B 25/26, Promotion Playoffs
Catanzaro 3:0 Avellino Avellino
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
6.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonza - Avellino

Monza
5 matches total
Avellino
Monza: 3 (60%)
Draws:1 (20%)
Avellino: 1 (20%)
Biggest win Monza 2:1 (08.02, 07:00) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 08.02, 07:00) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (16.10.11, 07:00) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

7 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 7

Match history

Event
Monza
2:1
Avellino
Event
Monza
2:1
Avellino
Event
Monza
1:0
Avellino
Event
Monza
1:2
Avellino
Event
Monza
1:1
Avellino
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Monza
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Avellino
Monza Team comparison Avellino
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
Matches in history 6
Biggest draw 1:1
Highest-scoring match 2:1
Seriya B 2 / 1 / 0 / 1 / 3 / 3
Cup Italy 2 / 1 / 0 / 1 / 2 / 2
Seriya C 2 / 1 / 1 / 0 / 3 / 2

Montsa Avellino 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Ivan Yurich Glavnye trenery Alessandro Nesta Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 50% 50% 0% Double chance 50% 25% 25% Materialy po prognozam «Montsa» — «Atalanta». Miranchuka zhdut bolshie dela «Sassuolo» — «Montsa». Blagodarya Berluskoni «Montsa» — «Napoli». Khvicha poteryal chute? «Torino» — «Montsa». Miranchuk perestal vyruchat «Montsa» — «Roma». Mourinyu khranit vernost CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1329610' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Cup Italy Turnirnaya Standings

Frequently asked questions

When does Monza vs Avellino start?

August 14, 2026.