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AI pick Torino
win probability ~54%
best odds 1.71
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Torino. Full breakdown below.
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01.09.2026 19:00 UTC
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01.09.2026 19:00 UTC
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Italy. Serie B
Torino vs Monza — Football prediction
0
:
1
Finished
Torino face Monza in football, in Italy. Serie B, on 1 September 2026. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model makes Torino the favourite, with a win probability of about 54%. The bookmaker consensus (4 books) implies about 55% for the same outcome. The model puts the chance of a draw at 26%.
Latest form: Torino 0 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost; Monza 1 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost. Glicko ratings: Torino 1500, Monza 1699, a gap of 199 points.
Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 1-point gap to the market. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 199 Glicko rating points, the model's 54% for Torino. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Torino — 54%
Model estimate: win Torino 53.8%, draw 25.6%, win Monza 20.6%. Model favourite — Torino.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Torino - Monza September 1, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monza.
Line favourite Fonbet: Monza. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.71 / X 4.70 / 2 1.02
- Glicko: Torino 53.8% / X 25.6% / Monza 20.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.3%
3 books
1
55.0%
X
25.8%
2
19.2%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Model O/U (market-implied)
Total 2.0
2 books
Over 2.0
57.3%
Under 2.0
42.7%
Market-implied probability from the frozen pre-kickoff consensus line — reference, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
2.00
↓ 1.92
1X2 X
3.50
↓ 3.40
1X2 2
3.80
↑ 3.95
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Coppa ItaliaLeague table
Torino
Monza
Best price
across 13 books
1
1.84
Dafabet
X
3.95
Pinnacle
2
5.92
Pinnacle
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)Torino
W-D-L 6-1-3
Scored 1.42
Conceded 0.82
xG 1.70
xGA 1.06
Corners 5.5
Monza
W-D-L 4-1-5
Scored 1.38
Conceded 1.18
xG 1.53
xGA 1.01
Corners 5.4
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Injuries and absences
Israel, Franko — Travmirovan
Biragi, Kristiano — Drugoe
Kasadey, Chezare — Travmirovan
Pessina, Matteo — Travmirovan
Churriya, Patrik — Travmirovan
Ture, Idrissa — Travmirovan
Ngonge, Siril — Drugoe
Source: gismo_stats
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Torino
54%
37.00
Draw
26%
4.70
Monza
20%
5.60
Handicap
Torino (0)
65%
12.00
Monza (0)
35%
2.61
Total
Over 8.5
48%
1.90
Under 8.5
52%
1.77
Both teams to score
Yes
42%
4.60
No
58%
1.79
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Absences
Injuries and absences
Torino
- Franko IsraelOut
- Kristiano BiragiOut
- Chezare KasadeyOut
Monza
- Matteo PessinaOut
- Patrik ChurriyaOut
- Idrissa TureOut
- Siril NgongeOut
Injury and absence data - for reference.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Torino
2
:
1
Monza
11.89
X3.38
24.08
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Playoff draw
Tournament bracket Coppa Italia 26/27
Preliminary Round
Benevento5
Ravenna3
Arezzo2
Union Brescia0
L.R. Vicenza4
Catania5
Ascoli3
Potenza1
1/32
Venezia3
Modena2
Palermo2
Lecce0
Udinese1
Padova0
Cremonese2
Sampdoria0
Catanzaro5
Sudtirol Bolzano6
Sassuolo3
Cesena0
Monza3
Avellino0
Pisa5
Empoli4
Lazio0
Mantova2
Hellas Verona5
Entella4
Frosinone4
Stabia1
Torino1
Carrarese0
Parma Calcio2
Catania0
Fiorentina4
Benevento1
Cagliari1
Arezzo0
Genoa4
Ascoli1
1/16
Genoa0
Sudtirol Bolzano0
Udinese0
Venezia0
Torino0
Monza0
Cagliari0
Hellas Verona0
Mantova0
Palermo0
Cremonese0
Parma Calcio0
Sassuolo0
Frosinone0
Pisa0
Fiorentina0
Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.
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Match center
Start
01.09.2026 19:00 UTC
Market
1 32.9% @ 1.71 / X 12.0% @ 4.70 / 2 55.1% @ 1.02
Broadcasts
MATCh! Football 1, MEGOGO, Sport Plus Qazaqstan Torino
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community
Torino 81%
📐 Math model
Torino 54%
💹 Market
Torino 55%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center
Torino - Monza
Torino: win 1.80 Torino: draw 3.40 Monza win: 4.50 Obschiy Total goals Over 2.5: 2.15 Obschiy Total goals Under 2.5: 1.67 Individualnyy Total goals Torino Over 1.5: 2.00 Individualnyy Total goals Torino Under 1.5: 1.73 Individualnyy Total goals Monza Over 0.5: 1.62…
Lineups
11/11
probable starting lineup
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
3
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 53.8% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.984 / LogLoss 1.578
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 53.8% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.984 / LogLoss 1.578
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Torino
55.0%
53.8%
market and model agree
Draw
25.8%
25.6%
draw risk
Monza
19.2%
20.6%
1X2: 4 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
53.8% / 25.6% / 20.6%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,500 / 1,699
Torino / Monza
RD
350 / 292
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
800-2,200 / 1,115-2,283
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.02
Fonbet · no value · model 20.6%
X
4.70
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.68
market consensus · no value · model 53.8%
Double chance
12
1.18
Fonbet · no value · model 74.4%
1X
1.13
market consensus · no value · model 79.4%
X2
1.04
Fonbet · no value · model 46.2%
Handicap
2 -1
1.12
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.97
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.30
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
5.15
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.14
Fonbet · line only
Yes
4.60
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match marketsBoth teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.14 87.7% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.78 56.2% |
| yes | 4.60 21.7% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.45 29.0% | 1.93 51.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.38 72.5% |
| 1x | 11.00 9.1% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.13 88.5% |
| x2 | 1.04 96.2% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.25 44.4% | |
| X | 2.18 45.9% |
| 5.70 17.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.88 53.2% |
| Under 1 | 1.83 54.6% |
Match center
5-3-2
3-4-2-1
20
Lukas Perri
15
Petro Komutstso
23
Saul Koko
29
Nikkolo Fortini
44
Ardian Ismayli
77
Alessio Kachchamani
11
Gaetano Oristanio
66
Gvidas Gineytis
79
Andrea Luongo
17
Sandro Kulenovich
18
Dzhovanni Simeone
20
Demba Tim
3
Lorentso Lukkezi
5
Y. Maye
60
Eddi Kuadio
7
Rikardu Mangash
11
Omari Forson
14
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
24
Adam Bakune
46
Dzhey Robinson
90
Maykl Folorunsho
47
Deni Mota
Torino
Formation 5-3-2
Probable starting lineup
20
LP
Lukas Perri
Lukas Perri
15
PK
Petro Komutstso
Petro Komutstso
23
SK
Saul Koko
Saul Koko
29
NF
Nikkolo Fortini
Nikkolo Fortini
44
AI
Ardian Ismayli
Ardian Ismayli
77
AK
Alessio Kachchamani
Alessio Kachchamani
11
GO
Gaetano Oristanio
Gaetano Oristanio
66
GG
Gvidas Gineytis
Gvidas Gineytis
79
AL
Andrea Luongo
17
SK
Sandro Kulenovich
Sandro Kulenovich
18
DS
Dzhovanni Simeone
Dzhovanni Simeone
Head coach
Inyatsio Abate
Monza
Formation 3-4-2-1
Probable starting lineup
20
DT
Demba Tim
Demba Tim
3
LL
Lorentso Lukkezi
Lorentso Lukkezi
5
YM
Y. Maye
60
EK
Eddi Kuadio
Eddi Kuadio
7
RM
Rikardu Mangash
Rikardu Mangash
11
OF
Omari Forson
Omari Forson
14
EA
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
24
AB
Adam Bakune
Adam Bakune
46
DR
Dzhey Robinson
Dzhey Robinson
90
MF
Maykl Folorunsho
Maykl Folorunsho
47
DM
Deni Mota
Deni Mota
Head coach
Ivan Yurich
Torino
No home-team absences found in the prematch data.
Monza
No away-team absences found in the prematch data.
Formations
5-3-2 / 3-4-2-1
SStats
Market - Form - H2H - Table
Match center
Torino
Team form
Monza
10
Matches
10
12
Goals
22
1.2
Per match
2.2
5
Wins
5
1
Draws
1
4
Losses
4
Form & head-to-head
H2H 3-3-1, avg 1.86 gls
2026-09-01 · Torino 0:1 Montsa
2025-03-02 · Torino 2:0 Montsa
2024-11-24 · Torino 1:1 Montsa
2024-03-30 · Torino 1:0 Montsa
2023-11-11 · Torino 1:1 Montsa
Source: ruscore
Odds · 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 1.86 (Liga Stavok) · X 3.7 (Betcity) · 2 5 (Betcity)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.83 | 3.45 | 4.3 |
| Winline | 1.84 | 3.45 | 4.1 |
| Fonbet | 1.75 | 3.5 | 4.9 |
| Betcity | 1.77 | 3.7 | 5 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.86 | 3.5 | 4.1 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Torino
L
L
W
D
W
Torino
Sassuolo 2:1 Torino
Torino
Torino 1:2 Milan
Torino
Torino 1:0 Carrarese
Torino
Avellino 1:1 Torino
Torino
Burnley 0:1 Torino
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
7
Points
Monza
L
L
W
D
L
Monza 2:3 Udinese
Monza
Inter Milan 4:1 Monza
Monza
Monza 3:0 Avellino
Monza
Monza 3:3 Padova
Monza
Monza 1:3 Aris Thessaloniki
Monza
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
2.0
Scored
2.6
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head history: Torino - Monza
Torino
3
matches total
Torino: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Monza: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Torino 0:2 (2025-03-02)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (0:2, 2025-03-02)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (2024-11-24)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Monza 0:2 Torino
Torino 1:1 Monza
Torino 1:0 Monza
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Torino
Team 2
Monza
Matches in history
18
Biggest draw
2:2
Highest-scoring match
4:2
Seriya A
6 / 3 / 3 / 0 / 8 / 4
Tovarischeskiy (kluby)
2 / 2 / 0 / 0 / 5 / 1
Cup Italy
10 / 6 / 4 / 0 / 18 / 10
Unlock the full match prediction
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Torino vs Monza?
By the PropickAI model, Monza is favoured — about 54% win probability.
What does PropickAI predict for Torino vs Monza?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Monza. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
What are the bookmaker odds for Torino vs Monza?
Live odds for Torino vs Monza from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
When does Torino vs Monza start?
September 1, 2026.