Costa Rica. Premier Division
Guastotoya - Malacateco
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Guastotoya — 63%
Model estimate: win Guastotoya 63.2%, draw 17.7%, win Malacateco 19.1%. Model favourite — Guastotoya.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Guastotoya: probability 50% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.93)
- • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Guastotoya - Malacateco July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
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Guastotoya - Malacateco
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Avrora
Full head-to-head historyGuastotoya - Malacateco
Match history
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The Guastotoya - Malacateco breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form