Costa Rica. Premier Division
Marquense - Municipal
Marquense go head-to-head with Municipal on August 2, 2026 in the Costa Rica. Premier Division.
Recent form (W-D-L): Marquense 0-0-1, Municipal 1-0-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Municipal — 54%
Model estimate: win Marquense 27.4%, draw 18.7%, win Municipal 53.8%. Model favourite — Municipal.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Munisipal: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.28)
- • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Marquense - Municipal August 2, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.13 / X 3.30 / 2 2.14
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga NacionalAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Marquense - Municipal
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.74 57.5% |
| yes | 1.99 50.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.29 77.5% |
| 1x | 1.54 64.9% | 1.65 60.6% |
| x2 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.32 75.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.12 24.3% | |
| X | 1.96 51.0% |
| 2.80 35.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.16 46.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.62 61.7% |
Full head-to-head historyMarquense - Municipal
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Marquense - Municipal breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form