Costa Rica. Premier Division
Saprissa - San-Karlos
Saprissa go head-to-head with San-Karlos on August 1, 2026 in the Costa Rica. Premier Division.
Recent form (W-D-L): Saprissa 1-0-0, San-Karlos 0-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Saprissa — 66%
Model estimate: win Saprissa 66.1%, draw 16.9%, win San-Karlos 17.1%. Model favourite — Saprissa.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Saprissa: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
- • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Saprissa - San-Karlos August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.33 / X 4.90 / 2 8.40
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Saprissa - San-Karlos
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.65 60.6% |
| yes | 2.11 47.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.14 87.7% |
| 1x | 1.03 97.1% | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 2.95 33.9% | 3.00 33.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.74 57.5% | |
| X | 2.46 40.7% |
| 8.50 11.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.31 43.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
San-Karlos
Full head-to-head historySaprissa - San-Karlos
Match history
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The Saprissa - San-Karlos breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form