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AI verdict
AI pick Bjelovar
win probability ~41%
best odds 2.40
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Bjelovar. Full breakdown below.
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28.08.2026 15:30 UTC
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28.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished
Croatia: Second League
Bjelovar vs Trnje — Football prediction
B
Bjelovar
0
:
2
Finished
T
Trnje
Bjelovar host Trne in football, in Croatia: Second League, on 28 August 2026. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model makes Bjelovar the favourite, with a win probability of about 41%. The bookmaker consensus (3 books) implies about 40% for the same outcome. The model puts the chance of a draw at 26%.
There is little recent-form or head-to-head data for this fixture, so the main guide is the PropickAI model and the current market line. On the Glicko scale the two are essentially level. The game is part of Croatia: Second League.
Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 1-point gap to the market. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: the model's 41% for Bjelovar. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Bjelovar — 41%
Model estimate: win Bjelovar 40.5%, draw 25.8%, win Trnje 33.6%. Model favourite — Bjelovar.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bjelovar - Trnje August 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bjelovar.
Line favourite Fonbet: Bjelovar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.40 / X 2.90 / 2 3.00
- Glicko: Bjelovar 40.5% / X 25.8% / Trnje 33.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.0%
4 books · best price +6.9%
1
40.4%
X
26.5%
2
33.1%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Model O/U (market-implied)
Total 2.50
3 books
Over 2.50
52.2%
Under 2.50
47.8%
Market-implied probability from the frozen pre-kickoff consensus line — reference, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Second NLLeague table
Bjelovar
Trnje
Best price
across 10 books
1
2.38
Betfair
X
3.50
Dafabet
2
2.88
Bet365
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)Bjelovar
W-D-L 2-4-4
Scored 1.48
Conceded 1.55
xG 1.21
xGA 1.55
Trnje
W-D-L 4-2-4
Scored 1.45
Conceded 1.16
xG 1.07
xGA 1.68
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Bjelovar
Rating 1506
xG 1.41
Win 42%
Trnje
Rating 1516
xG 1.20
Win 32%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Bjelovar
40%
2.40
Draw
26%
3.50
Trnje
33%
3.00
Handicap
Bjelovar (0)
54%
1.70
Trnje (0)
46%
2.05
Total
Over 2.5
52%
2.85
Under 2.5
48%
1.93
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Bjelovar
2
:
1
Trnje
12.27
X3.34
22.76
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Start
28.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Market
1 38.1% @ 2.40 / X 31.5% @ 2.90 / 2 30.4% @ 3.00
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community
Bjelovar 100%
📐 Math model
Bjelovar 41%
💹 Market
Bjelovar 40%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center
Bjelovar - Trnje
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:2
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Bjelovar
40.3%
40.5%
market and model agree
Draw
26.1%
25.8%
draw risk
Trnje
33.7%
33.6%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
40.5% / 25.8% / 33.6%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,500 / 1,500
Bjelovar / Trnje
RD
350 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
800-2,200 / 800-2,200
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.00
Fonbet · no value · model 33.6%
X
2.90
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.40
Fonbet · no value · model 40.5%
Double chance
12
1.37
Fonbet · no value · model 74.2%
1X
1.35
Fonbet · no value · model 66.4%
X2
1.50
Fonbet · no value · model 59.5%
Handicap
2 0
2.05
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.68
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.85
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.37
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.45
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.55
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match marketsBoth teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.45 69.0% | 2.13 47.0% |
| yes | 2.55 39.2% | 1.64 61.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.37 73.0% |
| 1x | 1.33 75.2% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.35 74.1% |
| x2 | 1.48 67.6% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.50 66.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.87 34.8% | |
| X | 2.13 47.0% |
| 3.42 29.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.26 79.4% |
| Over 1 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.50 28.6% |
| Under 1 | 1.96 51.0% |
Match center
Bjelovar
Team form
Trnje
10
Matches
10
19
Goals
16
1.9
Per match
1.6
4
Wins
4
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
3
Bjelovar
W
L
D
L
L
Bjelovar
Slavonija Pozega 3:4 Bjelovar
Bjelovar
Hrvatski Dragovoljac 2:0 Bjelovar
Bjelovar
Bjelovar 1:1 Solin
Bjelovar
Mladost Zdralovi 2:1 Bjelovar
Bjelovar
Bjelovar 3:4 Uljanik
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.8
Scored
2.4
Conceded
4
Points
Trnje
W
D
W
L
W
Trnje 3:0 Inker
Trnje
Karlovac 2:2 Trnje
Trnje
Sesvete 2:3 Trnje
Trnje
Trnje 0:1 Dugo Selo
Trnje
NK Grobnican 1:5 Trnje
Trnje
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.6
Scored
1.2
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head history: Bjelovar - Trnje
Bjelovar
1
matches total
Bjelovar: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Trnje: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
0:0 (2026-05-02)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Trnje 0:0 Bjelovar
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Bjelovar
Team 2
Trnje
Matches in history
10
Biggest draw
2:2
Highest-scoring match
4:3
2. NL
8 / 2 / 3 / 3 / 11 / 11
Tovarischeskiy (kluby)
2 / 0 / 0 / 2 / 3 / 6
Unlock the full match prediction
The Bjelovar - Trnje breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bjelovar vs Trnje?
By the PropickAI model, Bjelovar is favoured — about 41% win probability.
What does PropickAI predict for Bjelovar vs Trnje?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Bjelovar. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
What are the bookmaker odds for Bjelovar vs Trnje?
Live odds for Bjelovar vs Trnje from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
When does Bjelovar vs Trnje start?
August 28, 2026.