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29.07.2026 15:00 UTC
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29.07.2026 15:00 UTC
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Cup
2Drots - Orel
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 2Drots — 70%
Pure model vs market (1 · 2Drots): model 44% · market 72% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win 2Drots 70.2%, draw 18.2%, win Orel 11.6%. Model favourite — 2Drots.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
12Drots (odds1.28)
Score 2:0
Under 3
(odds1.85)
Handicap H1 -1.5
(odds1.75)
confidence 72%
- • liniya na pik P1 1.30→1.22 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
- • Model backs 2Drots: probability 72% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
- • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:0
- • Total: Under 3: model expects a total of ~2 goals
- • at line 3 (odds 1.85)
- • Handicap F1 -1.5: score forecast 2:0 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.75).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction 2Drots - Orel July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: 2Drots. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.25 / X 5.00 / 2 8.76
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.4%
1 ✓ Pick
71.8%
X
18.0%
2
10.2%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1
1.30
↓ 1.25
1X2 X
4.50
↑ 5.00
1X2 P2
8.27
↑ 8.76
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
2Drots - Orel
Form
2/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
Overview
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
2Drots
71.8%
70.2%
market and model agree
Draw
17.9%
18.2%
draw risk
Orel
10.3%
11.6%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
70.2% / 18.2% / 11.6%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,463 / 1,451
2Drots / Orel
RD
263 / 250
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
937-1,989 / 950-1,951
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.76
Fonbet · no value · model 11.6%
X
5.00
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.25
Fonbet · no value · model 70.2%
Double chance
12
1.10
Fonbet · no value · model 81.8%
1X
1.01
Fonbet · no value · model 88.4%
X2
3.30
Fonbet · no value · model 29.8%
Handicap
2 -1
2.70
Fonbet · line only
2 0
6.50
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.40
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.07
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.47
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.50
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.87
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.83
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.87 53.5% | 1.86 53.8% |
| yes | 1.83 54.6% | 1.95 51.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.10 90.9% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 3.27 30.6% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.76 56.8% | |
| X | 2.66 37.6% |
| 8.20 12.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.61 62.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.27 44.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.33 42.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.64 61.0% |
Match center
2Drots
Country
Russia
Orel
Country
Russia
Match center
2Drots
L
W
20.08 14:00 UTC
Cup
2Drots
0:1
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
06.08 17:15 UTC
Cup
2Drots
1:0
Torpedo Vladimir
Torpedo Vladimir
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.5
Scored
0.5
Conceded
3
Points
Orel
L
L
W
06.08 15:00 UTC
Cup
Orel
2:3
Broke Boys
25.09 15:30 UTC
Cup
Orel
2:3
FK Sokol Saratov
04.09 15:30 UTC
Cup
Orel
4:2
Salyut-Belgorod
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.7
Scored
2.7
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head history2Drots - Orel
2Drots
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form