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Cup
Cup Russia
02.10.2024 18:15 UTC Match prediction
02.10.2024 18:15 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Akhmat - FC Krasnodar

Russia Futbol
Akhmat
Akhmat
3 : 0
Finished
FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Akhmat - FC Krasnodar 2 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Krasnodar.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Krasnodar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.11 / X 3.66 / 2 1.91
  • 1X2 market: Akhmat 23.4% / X 26.3% / FC Krasnodar 50.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 23.4%
X 26.3%
2 50.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 51.2%
Under 2.5 48.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.10.2024 18:15 UTC
Match center

Akhmat - FC Krasnodar

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.91 market consensus · line only
X 3.66 market consensus · line only
1 4.11 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.94 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.11 24.3%
Х 3.66 27.3%
П2 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.26 79.4%
home_away 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.94 51.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.89 52.9%
ТМ 2.5 1.98 50.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.03 33.0%
П2 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Akhmat
W
19.09 15:30 UTC Cup
Akhmat 2:1 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
FC Krasnodar
L
18.09 16:00 UTC Cup
FC Krasnodar 0:2 ЦСКА МоскваЦСКА Москва
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAkhmat - FC Krasnodar

Akhmat
0 matches total
FC Krasnodar
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history