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Cup
Cup Russia
24.09.2024 14:00 UTC Match prediction
24.09.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Amkar - Chernomorets

Russia Futbol
Amkar
Amkar
3 : 3
Finished
Chernomorets
Chernomorets

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Amkar - Chernomorets 24 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chernomorets.

Line favourite market consensus: Chernomorets. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.50 / X 3.34 / 2 1.98
  • 1X2 market: Amkar 26.2% / X 27.5% / Chernomorets 46.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 26.2%
X 27.5%
2 46.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.9%
Over 2.5 46.1%
Under 2.5 53.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.09.2024 14:00 UTC
Match center

Amkar - Chernomorets

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.98 market consensus · line only
X 3.34 market consensus · line only
1 3.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.72 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.50 28.6%
Х 3.34 29.9%
П2 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.72 58.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.01 49.8%
ТМ 2.5 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 1.5 2.09 47.9%
ТМ 1.5 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Amkar
W
03.09 14:00 UTC Cup
Amkar 1:0 Torpedo MiassTorpedo Miass
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAmkar - Chernomorets

Amkar
0 matches total
Chernomorets
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history