Cup
Cup Russia
03.09.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Amkar - Torpedo Miass

Russia Futbol
Amkar
Amkar
1 : 0
Finished
Torpedo Miass
Torpedo Miass

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Amkar - Torpedo Miass 3 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Amkar.

Line favourite market consensus: Amkar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 3.30 / 2 3.75
  • 1X2 market: Amkar 47.5% / X 27.9% / Torpedo Miass 24.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 47.5%
X 27.9%
2 24.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.1%
Over 2.5 43.0%
Under 2.5 57.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.09.2024 14:00 UTC
Match center

Amkar - Torpedo Miass

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.75 market consensus · line only
X 3.30 market consensus · line only
1 1.94 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.76 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.94 51.6%
Х 3.30 30.3%
П2 3.75 26.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.76 56.8%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.23 81.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.17 46.1%
ТМ 2.5 1.64 61.0%

Total

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 0.5 1.52 65.8%
ТМ 0.5 2.30 43.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAmkar - Torpedo Miass

Amkar
0 matches total
Torpedo Miass
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history