Cup
Anzhi - Izberbash
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Izberbash — 72%
Pure model vs market (2 · Izberbash): model 33% · market 70% Δ −37 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Anzhi 12.0%, draw 16.4%, win Izberbash 71.6%. Model favourite — Izberbash.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • liniya na pik P2 1.20→1.22 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
- • Model backs Izberbash: probability 72% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.33)
- • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:2
- • Total: Under 4.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
- • at line 4.5 (odds 1.60)
- • Handicap F2 -1.5: score forecast 0:2 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.78).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Anzhi - Izberbash July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.20 / X 5.60 / 2 1.02
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Now in play
score 1:4 · 92'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
Match momentum (live)
1:4 92'Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.
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Anzhi - Izberbash
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.13 47.0% | 3.06 32.7% |
| yes | 1.63 61.4% | 1.38 72.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.11 90.1% |
| 1x | 2.13 47.0% | 2.55 39.2% | 15.00 6.7% |
| x2 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.02 24.9% | |
| X | 2.88 34.7% |
| 2.13 47.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 2 | 2.18 45.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.97 50.8% |
| Under 2 | 1.69 59.2% |
Anzhi
Izberbash
Full head-to-head historyAnzhi - Izberbash
Match history
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The Anzhi - Izberbash breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form