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Cup
Cup Russia
03.03.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Baltika - Zenit

Russia Football
Baltika
Baltika
0 : 1
Finished
Zenit
Zenit

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Baltika - Zenit March 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zenit.

Line favourite market consensus: Zenit. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.42 / X 3.23 / 2 2.17
  • 1X2 market: Baltika 27.6% / X 29.1% / Zenit 43.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3%
1 27.5%
X 29.1%
2 43.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5 37.9%
Under 2.5 62.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.03.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Baltika - Zenit

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.17 market consensus · line only
X 3.23 market consensus · line only
1 3.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.69 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.55 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
3.65 27.4% 3.52 28.4% 3.46 28.9% 3.42 29.2% 3.04 32.9% 3.42 29.2%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.38 29.6% 3.32 30.1% 3.32 30.1% 2.91 34.4% 3.32 30.1%
1.97 50.8% 2.26 44.3% 2.22 45.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.08 48.1% 2.25 44.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.64 61.0% 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.21 45.3% 2.08 48.1% 2.08 48.1% 2.22 45.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.21 82.6% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.71 58.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2%
Over 0.75 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.0 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.25 1.27 78.7%
Over 1.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 1.75 1.59 62.9%
Over 2.0 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6%
Over 2.25 2.14 46.7%
Over 2.5 2.59 38.6%
Over 2.75 2.96 33.8%
Over 3.0 3.96 25.3%
Over 3.25 4.40 22.7%
Over 3.5 4.80 20.8%
Over 3.75 6.15 16.3%
Over 4.0 9.00 11.1%
Over 4.25 8.10 12.4%
Under 2.0 1.98 50.5%
Match center
Baltika
W L W D L
25.11 15:00 UTC Cup
Baltika 2:0 Torpedo Moskva
23.10 18:00 UTC Cup
Baltika 1:2 LokomotivLokomotiv
01.10 17:30 UTC Cup
Baltika 3:0 AkronAkron
18.09 15:30 UTC Cup
Baltika 1:1 CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
27.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Baltika 0:2 CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Zenit
W L W W W
27.11 17:30 UTC Cup
Zenit 1:0 DinamoDinamo
05.11 17:30 UTC Cup
Zenit 1:3 DinamoDinamo
22.10 17:30 UTC Cup
Zenit 6:0 FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
30.09 15:00 UTC Cup
Zenit 1:0 RubinRubin
17.09 17:30 UTC Cup
Zenit 2:1 AkhmatAkhmat
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBaltika - Zenit

Baltika
0 matches total
Zenit
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history