Cup
Cup Russia
17.10.2024 16:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Chayka - Znamya Truda

Russia Futbol
Chayka
Chayka
2 : 0
Finished
Znamya Truda
Znamya Truda

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chayka - Znamya Truda 17 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chayka.

Line favourite market consensus: Chayka. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.33 / X 4.55 / 2 8.50
  • 1X2 market: Chayka 69.0% / X 20.2% / Znamya Truda 10.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 69.0%
X 20.2%
2 10.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.8%
Over 2.5 49.3%
Under 2.5 50.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.10.2024 16:00 UTC
Match center

Chayka - Znamya Truda

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 market consensus · line only
X 4.55 market consensus · line only
1 1.33 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.97 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 1.03 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.33 75.2%
Х 4.55 22.0%
П2 8.50 11.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.97 33.7%
home_away 1.15 87.0%
home_draw 1.03 97.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.88 53.2%
ТМ 2.5 1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 0.5 1.98 50.5%
ТМ 0.5 1.70 58.8%
Match center
Chayka
W
25.09 16:00 UTC Cup
Chayka 3:0 Khimik DzerzhinskKhimik Dzerzhinsk
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Znamya Truda
D W
26.09 15:00 UTC Cup
Znamya Truda 1:1 Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
04.09 15:00 UTC Cup
Znamya Truda 2:0 LeningradetsLeningradets
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChayka - Znamya Truda

Chayka
0 matches total
Znamya Truda
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history