Cup
Cup Russia
04.09.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Chelyabinsk - Chertanovo Moscow

Russia Futbol
Chelyabinsk
Chelyabinsk
1 : 0
Finished
Chertanovo Moscow
Chertanovo Moscow

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelyabinsk - Chertanovo Moscow 4 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelyabinsk.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelyabinsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / X 4.80 / 2 7.10
  • 1X2 market: Chelyabinsk 67.8% / X 19.2% / Chertanovo Moscow 13.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 67.8%
X 19.2%
2 13.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.0%
Over 2.5 59.2%
Under 2.5 40.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.09.2024 14:00 UTC
Match center

Chelyabinsk - Chertanovo Moscow

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.10 market consensus · line only
X 4.80 market consensus · line only
1 1.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.88 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.36 73.5%
Х 4.80 20.8%
П2 7.10 14.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.88 34.7%
home_away 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.06 94.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.58 63.3%
ТМ 2.5 2.29 43.7%

Total

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 0.5 1.62 61.7%
ТМ 0.5 2.10 47.6%