Cup
Cup Russia
22.10.2024 17:45 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

ЦСКА Москва - Akhmat

Russia Futbol
ЦСКА Москва
ЦСКА Москва
1 : 0
Finished
Akhmat
Akhmat

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction ЦСКА Москва - Akhmat 22 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like ЦСКА Москва.

Line favourite market consensus: ЦСКА Москва. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 4.42 / 2 6.50
  • 1X2 market: ЦСКА Москва 63.7% / X 21.6% / Akhmat 14.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 63.7%
X 21.6%
2 14.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.10.2024 17:45 UTC
Match center

ЦСКА Москва - Akhmat

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.50 market consensus · line only
X 4.42 market consensus · line only
1 1.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.69 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.50 66.7%
Х 4.42 22.6%
П2 6.50 15.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.69 37.2%
home_away 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.13 88.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.84 54.4%
ТМ 2.5 2.04 49.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.18 84.8%
П2 5.15 19.4%
Match center
ЦСКА Москва
W W
01.10 17:45 UTC Cup
ЦСКА Москва 2:0 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
18.09 16:00 UTC Cup
ЦСКА Москва 2:0 FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points
Akhmat
W W
02.10 18:15 UTC Cup
Akhmat 3:0 FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
19.09 15:30 UTC Cup
Akhmat 2:1 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points