Cup
Cup Russia
18.09.2024 16:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

ЦСКА Москва - FC Krasnodar

Russia Futbol
ЦСКА Москва
ЦСКА Москва
2 : 0
Finished
FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction ЦСКА Москва - FC Krasnodar 18 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like ЦСКА Москва.

Line favourite market consensus: ЦСКА Москва. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.14 / X 3.58 / 2 3.42
  • 1X2 market: ЦСКА Москва 45.0% / X 26.9% / FC Krasnodar 28.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 45.0%
X 26.9%
2 28.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5 46.3%
Under 2.5 53.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.09.2024 16:00 UTC
Match center

ЦСКА Москва - FC Krasnodar

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.42 market consensus · line only
X 3.58 market consensus · line only
1 2.14 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.75 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.14 46.7%
Х 3.58 27.9%
П2 3.42 29.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.75 57.1%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.34 74.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.08 48.1%
ТМ 2.5 1.79 55.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.56 64.1%
П2 2.50 40.0%