Match center
Start
04.03.2026 17:45 UTC
04.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
Cup
ЦСКА Москва - FC Krasnodar
3
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction ЦСКА Москва - FC Krasnodar 4 марта 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Krasnodar.
Line favourite market consensus: FC Krasnodar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.70 / X 3.46 / 2 2.51
- 1X2 market: ЦСКА Москва 35.0% / X 27.3% / FC Krasnodar 37.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 51.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.8%
1
35.0%
X
27.3%
2
37.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5
51.0%
Under 2.5
49.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
ЦСКА Москва - FC Krasnodar
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.51
market consensus · line only
X
3.46
market consensus · line only
1
2.70
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.45
market consensus · line only
12
1.31
market consensus · line only
1X
1.53
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.48
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.17
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.54
market consensus · line only
2 +1
4.06
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.89
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.97
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.13
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.69
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SBO | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.47 40.5% | 2.79 35.8% | 2.76 36.2% | 2.76 36.2% | 2.68 37.3% | 2.76 36.2% |
| Х | 3.45 29.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.56 28.1% | 3.52 28.4% | 3.13 32.0% | 3.52 28.4% |
| П2 | 2.47 40.5% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.57 38.9% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.29 43.7% | 2.55 39.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.06 48.5% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.20 45.5% |
| yes | 1.74 57.5% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.70 58.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 1xBet | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SBO | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.50 66.7% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.47 68.0% |
| home_away | 1.34 74.6% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.32 75.8% |
| home_draw | 1.56 64.1% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.55 64.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 0.5 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| ТБ 0.75 | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| ТБ 1.0 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| ТБ 1.25 | — | 1.12 89.3% |
| ТБ 1.5 | — | 1.24 80.7% |
| ТБ 1.75 | — | 1.30 76.9% |
| ТБ 2.0 | — | 1.39 71.9% |
| ТБ 2.25 | — | 1.61 62.1% |
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% |
| ТБ 2.75 | — | 2.04 49.0% |
| ТБ 3.0 | — | 2.42 41.3% |
| ТБ 3.25 | — | 2.72 36.8% |
| ТБ 3.5 | — | 2.98 33.6% |
| ТБ 3.75 | — | 3.64 27.5% |
| ТБ 4.0 | — | 4.85 20.6% |
| ТБ 4.25 | — | 5.20 19.2% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.91 52.4% | — |
Match center
ЦСКА Москва
W
L
W
D
D
26.11 15:00 UTC
Cup
ЦСКА Москва
2:1
Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala
05.11 15:15 UTC
Cup
ЦСКА Москва
0:1
Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala
21.10 17:30 UTC
Cup
ЦСКА Москва
3:2
Akron
Akron
01.10 17:30 UTC
Cup
ЦСКА Москва
0:0
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv
18.09 15:30 UTC
Cup
ЦСКА Москва
1:1
Baltika
Baltika
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.0
Conceded
8
Points
FC Krasnodar
W
W
W
D
W
26.11 15:00 UTC
Cup
FC Krasnodar
4:0
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg
05.11 13:00 UTC
Cup
FC Krasnodar
3:1
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg
23.10 15:30 UTC
Cup
FC Krasnodar
3:0
FC Sochi
FC Sochi
30.09 17:30 UTC
Cup
FC Krasnodar
0:0
Dinamo
Dinamo
17.09 15:00 UTC
Cup
FC Krasnodar
2:1
Krylya Sovetov
Krylya Sovetov
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.4
Scored
0.4
Conceded
13
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyЦСКА Москва - FC Krasnodar
ЦСКА Москва
1
matches total
ЦСКА Москва: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FC Krasnodar: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
ЦСКА Москва 2:0 (18.09 16:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (2:0, 18.09 16:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
18.09 16:00 UTC
Cup
Cup
ЦСКА Москва
2:0
FC Krasnodar