Cup
Cup Russia
22.10.2024 15:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Dinamo Makhachkala - Спартак Москва

Russia Futbol
Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala
0 : 1
Finished
Спартак Москва
Спартак Москва

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dinamo Makhachkala - Спартак Москва 22 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Спартак Москва.

Line favourite market consensus: Спартак Москва. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.39 / X 3.66 / 2 1.85
  • 1X2 market: Dinamo Makhachkala 21.9% / X 26.2% / Спартак Москва 51.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 21.9%
X 26.2%
2 51.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5 45.0%
Under 2.5 55.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.10.2024 15:30 UTC
Match center

Dinamo Makhachkala - Спартак Москва

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.85 market consensus · line only
X 3.66 market consensus · line only
1 4.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.23 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 2.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.39 22.8%
Х 3.66 27.3%
П2 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.23 81.3%
home_away 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 2.00 50.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.14 46.7%
ТМ 2.5 1.75 57.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.27 30.6%
П2 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Dinamo Makhachkala
D D
02.10 16:00 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 3:3 Krylya SovetovKrylya Sovetov
18.09 18:15 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 2:2 DinamoDinamo
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
2.5 Conceded
2 Points
Спартак Москва
W W
02.10 16:00 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 3:2 DinamoDinamo
19.09 17:45 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 4:1 Krylya SovetovKrylya Sovetov
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
6 Points