Cup
Cup Russia
21.10.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Dinamo Makhachkala - Спартак Москва

Russia Futbol
Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
Finished
Спартак Москва
Спартак Москва

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dinamo Makhachkala - Спартак Москва 21 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Спартак Москва.

Line favourite market consensus: Спартак Москва. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.26 / X 3.48 / 2 1.82
  • 1X2 market: Dinamo Makhachkala 22.0% / X 26.8% / Спартак Москва 51.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.2%
1 21.9%
X 26.8%
2 51.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 47.0%
Under 2.5 53.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.10.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Dinamo Makhachkala - Спартак Москва

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.82 market consensus · line only
X 3.48 market consensus · line only
1 4.26 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.99 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.47 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Dafabet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO
П1 3.85 26.0% 4.58 21.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.51 22.2% 3.79 26.4%
Х 3.35 29.9% 3.72 26.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.66 27.3% 3.59 27.9% 3.08 32.5%
П2 1.78 56.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.84 54.4% 1.81 55.3% 1.79 55.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.78 56.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.97 50.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 1.24 80.7% 1.23 81.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.11 90.1% 1.21 82.6% 1.19 84.0%
home_away 1.32 75.8% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.19 84.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 2.03 49.3% 2.03 49.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.97 50.8% 2.02 49.5% 1.87 53.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.00 100.0%
ТБ 0.75 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.0 1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.25 1.16 86.2%
ТБ 1.5 1.30 76.9%
ТБ 1.75 1.38 72.5%
ТБ 2.0 1.51 66.2%
ТБ 2.25 1.79 55.9% 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 2.5 2.09 47.9%
ТБ 2.75 2.32 43.1%
ТБ 3.0 2.88 34.7%
ТБ 3.25 3.16 31.7%
ТБ 3.5 3.50 28.6%
ТБ 3.75 4.45 22.5%
ТБ 4.0 6.25 16.0%
ТБ 4.25 6.65 15.0%
ТМ 2.25 1.99 50.3%
Match center
Dinamo Makhachkala
D W W D W
02.10 16:30 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 1:1 FC RostovFC Rostov
16.09 17:45 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 2:1 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
27.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 3:1 FC RostovFC Rostov
12.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 1:1 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
30.07 15:30 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 1:0 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Спартак Москва
W L W D W
01.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 2:1 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
18.09 17:45 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 1:2 FC RostovFC Rostov
26.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 4:0 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
12.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 1:1 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
30.07 17:45 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 2:0 FC RostovFC Rostov
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDinamo Makhachkala - Спартак Москва

Dinamo Makhachkala
2 matches total
Спартак Москва
Dinamo Makhachkala: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Спартак Москва: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Spartak Moskva 0:1 (22.10 15:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 12.08 17:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (12.08 17:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

12.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala
1:1
Spartak Moskva
22.10 15:30 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala
0:1
Spartak Moskva