Cup
Cup Russia
02.10.2024 16:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Dynamo - Спартак Москва

Russia Futbol
Dynamo
Dynamo
2 : 3
Finished
Спартак Москва
Спартак Москва

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dynamo - Спартак Москва 2 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Спартак Москва.

Line favourite market consensus: Спартак Москва. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.91 / X 3.44 / 2 2.47
  • 1X2 market: Dynamo 33.1% / X 28.0% / Спартак Москва 39.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 33.1%
X 28.0%
2 39.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5 58.7%
Under 2.5 41.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.10.2024 16:00 UTC
Match center

Dynamo - Спартак Москва

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.47 market consensus · line only
X 3.44 market consensus · line only
1 2.91 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.58 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.91 34.4%
Х 3.44 29.1%
П2 2.47 40.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.58 63.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.64 61.0%
ТМ 2.5 2.33 42.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.09 47.9%
П2 1.77 56.5%
Match center
Dynamo
D
18.09 18:15 UTC Cup
Dynamo 2:2 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Спартак Москва
W
19.09 17:45 UTC Cup
Спартак Москва 4:1 Krylya SovetovKrylya Sovetov
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points