Cup
Cup Russia
22.10.2024 13:15 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Fakel - Zenit

Russia Futbol
Fakel
Fakel
0 : 1
Finished
Zenit
Zenit

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fakel - Zenit 22 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zenit.

Line favourite market consensus: Zenit. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.77 / X 3.93 / 2 1.62
  • 1X2 market: Fakel 16.6% / X 24.4% / Zenit 59.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 16.6%
X 24.3%
2 59.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 46.0%
Under 2.5 54.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 22.10.2024 13:15 UTC
Match center

Fakel - Zenit

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.62 market consensus · line only
X 3.93 market consensus · line only
1 5.77 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.17 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 2.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.77 17.3%
Х 3.93 25.5%
П2 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 2.38 42.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.07 48.3%
ТМ 2.5 1.76 56.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.43 22.6%
П2 1.23 81.3%
Match center
Fakel
W L
01.10 13:15 UTC Cup
Fakel 1:0 RubinRubin
18.09 13:15 UTC Cup
Fakel 0:2 AkronAkron
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Zenit
W W
02.10 18:15 UTC Cup
Zenit 5:1 AkronAkron
17.09 17:00 UTC Cup
Zenit 2:0 RubinRubin
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFakel - Zenit

Fakel
0 matches total
Zenit
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history