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Start
29.07.2026 15:00 UTC
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29.07.2026 15:00 UTC
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Cup
FC 10 - Kosmos Dolgoprudny
F
FC 10
-
:
-
Not started
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 FC 10 — 71%
Pure model vs market (1 · FC 10): model 47% · market 72% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win FC 10 71.0%, draw 17.1%, win Kosmos Dolgoprudny 11.9%. Model favourite — FC 10.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1FC 10 (odds1.26)
Score 3:0
confidence 73%
- • Model backs FC 10: probability 73% vs 80% on the line (odds 1.26)
- • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 3:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction FC 10 - Kosmos Dolgoprudny July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: FC 10. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.25 / X 5.40 / 2 7.77
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.4%
1 ✓ Pick
71.8%
X
16.6%
2
11.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1
1.25
→ 1.25
1X2 X
5.40
→ 5.40
1X2 P2
7.77
→ 7.77
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
FC 10 - Kosmos Dolgoprudny
Form
0/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
Overview
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
FC 10
72.6%
71.0%
market and model agree
Draw
16.7%
17.1%
draw risk
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
10.8%
11.9%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
71.0% / 17.1% / 11.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,500 / 1,430
FC 10 / Kosmos Dolgoprudny
RD
350 / 242
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
800-2,200 / 947-1,914
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.77
Fonbet · no value · model 11.9%
X
5.40
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.25
Fonbet · no value · model 71.0%
Double chance
12
1.08
Fonbet · no value · model 82.9%
1X
1.03
Fonbet · no value · model 88.1%
X2
3.30
Fonbet · no value · model 29.0%
Both teams to score
No
1.98
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.72
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.98 50.5% |
| yes | 1.72 58.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.09 91.7% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.08 92.6% |
| 1x | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 3.20 31.3% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.30 30.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.67 59.9% | |
| X | 2.66 37.6% |
| 7.70 13.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.02 49.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
Match center
FC 10
Country
Russia
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
Country
Russia
Match center
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
L
W
L
10.09 11:30 UTC
Cup
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1:4
Veles
Veles
20.08 14:00 UTC
Cup
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1:0
2Drots
2Drots
04.09 13:00 UTC
Cup
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1:2
Amkal
Amkal
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFC 10 - Kosmos Dolgoprudny
FC 10
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The FC 10 - Kosmos Dolgoprudny breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form