Match center
Start
17.03.2026 16:30 UTC
17.03.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished
Cup
FC Krasnodar - ЦСКА Москва
4
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction FC Krasnodar - ЦСКА Москва 17 марта 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Krasnodar.
Line favourite market consensus: FC Krasnodar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.86 / X 3.82 / 2 3.89
- 1X2 market: FC Krasnodar 50.8% / X 24.8% / ЦСКА Москва 24.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 58.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.6%
1
50.9%
X
24.8%
2
24.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5
58.8%
Under 2.5
41.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
FC Krasnodar - ЦСКА Москва
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.89
market consensus · line only
X
3.82
market consensus · line only
1
1.86
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.98
market consensus · line only
12
1.25
market consensus · line only
1X
1.25
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.00
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.54
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.89
market consensus · line only
2 +1
7.30
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.63
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.33
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.29
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.60
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SBO | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.78 56.2% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.88 53.2% |
| Х | 3.85 26.0% | 3.96 25.3% | 3.95 25.3% | 3.94 25.4% | 3.28 30.5% | 3.94 25.4% |
| П2 | 3.90 25.6% | 4.09 24.5% | 4.10 24.4% | 3.94 25.4% | 3.36 29.8% | 3.94 25.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.11 47.4% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.27 44.1% |
| yes | 1.71 58.5% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.66 60.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 1xBet | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SBO | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.99 50.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.98 50.5% |
| home_away | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_draw | 1.28 78.1% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.27 78.7% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 0.5 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| ТБ 0.75 | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| ТБ 1.0 | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| ТБ 1.25 | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| ТБ 1.5 | — | 1.14 87.7% |
| ТБ 1.75 | — | 1.17 85.5% |
| ТБ 2.0 | — | 1.22 82.0% |
| ТБ 2.25 | — | 1.39 71.9% |
| ТБ 2.5 | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| ТБ 2.75 | 2.02 49.5% | 1.69 59.2% |
| ТБ 3.0 | — | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 3.25 | — | 2.11 47.4% |
| ТБ 3.5 | — | 2.35 42.6% |
| ТБ 3.75 | — | 2.71 36.9% |
| ТБ 4.0 | — | 3.42 29.2% |
| ТБ 4.25 | — | 3.74 26.7% |
| ТМ 2.75 | 1.87 53.5% | — |
Match center
FC Krasnodar
L
W
W
W
D
04.03 17:45 UTC
Cup
FC Krasnodar
1:3
ЦСКА Москва
ЦСКА Москва
26.11 15:00 UTC
Cup
FC Krasnodar
4:0
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg
05.11 13:00 UTC
Cup
FC Krasnodar
3:1
FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg
23.10 15:30 UTC
Cup
FC Krasnodar
3:0
FC Sochi
FC Sochi
30.09 17:30 UTC
Cup
FC Krasnodar
0:0
Dinamo
Dinamo
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
10
Points
ЦСКА Москва
W
W
L
W
D
04.03 17:45 UTC
Cup
ЦСКА Москва
3:1
FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar
26.11 15:00 UTC
Cup
ЦСКА Москва
2:1
Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala
05.11 15:15 UTC
Cup
ЦСКА Москва
0:1
Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala
21.10 17:30 UTC
Cup
ЦСКА Москва
3:2
Akron
Akron
01.10 17:30 UTC
Cup
ЦСКА Москва
0:0
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFC Krasnodar - ЦСКА Москва
FC Krasnodar
2
matches total
FC Krasnodar: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
ЦСКА Москва: 2 (100%)
Biggest win
ЦСКА Москва 1:3 (04.03 17:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (1:3, 04.03 17:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
04.03 17:45 UTC
Cup
Cup
FC Krasnodar
1:3
ЦСКА Москва
18.09 16:00 UTC
Cup
Cup
FC Krasnodar
0:2
ЦСКА Москва