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Cup Russia

30.09.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction

30.09.2025 17:30 UTC

Finished

Cup

FC Krasnodar - Dynamo

Russia Football

FC Krasnodar

0 : 0

Finished

Dynamo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Krasnodar - Dynamo September 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Krasnodar.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Krasnodar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.09 / X 3.58 / 2 3.22
1X2 market: FC Krasnodar 44.8% / X 26.1% / Dynamo 29.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 54.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.8%

1 44.8%

X 26.1%

2 29.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%

Over 2.5 54.8%

Under 2.5 45.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.09.2025 17:30 UTC

Match center

FC Krasnodar - Dynamo

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.23 market consensus · line only

X 3.60 market consensus · line only

1 2.10 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.70 market consensus · line only

12 1.28 market consensus · line only

1X 1.34 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.38 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.06 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.80 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.21 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.15 46.5%
X	3.70 27.0%
	3.30 30.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SBO	SStats Consensus
	1.84 54.4%	2.16 46.3%	2.11 47.4%	2.15 46.5%	2.06 48.5%	2.15 46.5%
X	3.60 27.8%	3.74 26.7%	3.65 27.4%	3.70 27.0%	3.18 31.5%	3.70 27.0%
	3.35 29.9%	3.44 29.1%	3.35 29.9%	3.30 30.3%	2.84 35.2%	3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	2.17 46.1%	2.22 45.1%	2.19 45.7%	2.28 43.9%	2.20 45.5%
yes	1.64 61.0%	1.60 62.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.66 60.2%	1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SBO	SStats Consensus	Superbet
draw_away	1.78 56.2%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.55 64.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.61 62.1%
home_away	1.32 75.8%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.36 73.5%	1.34 74.6%	1.36 73.5%	1.28 78.1%	1.36 73.5%	1.35 74.1%

Match center

FC Krasnodar

W W W L L

17.09 15:00 UTC Cup

FC Krasnodar 2:1 Krylya Sovetov

27.08 15:30 UTC Cup

FC Krasnodar 4:2 FC Sochi

13.08 17:45 UTC Cup

FC Krasnodar 4:0 Dinamo

29.07 17:45 UTC Cup

FC Krasnodar 1:2 Krylya Sovetov

23.10 18:15 UTC Cup

FC Krasnodar 1:2 Nizhny Novgorod

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

2.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

9 Points

Dynamo

W D L W L

17.09 17:30 UTC Cup

Dynamo 4:0 FC Sochi

27.08 13:15 UTC Cup

Dynamo 0:0 Krylya Sovetov

13.08 17:45 UTC Cup

Dynamo 0:4 FC Krasnodar

29.07 15:30 UTC Cup

Dynamo 3:2 FC Sochi

29.04 17:30 UTC Cup

Dynamo 1:2 Spartak Moskva

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Krasnodar - Dynamo

FC Krasnodar

1 matches total

Dynamo

FC Krasnodar: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Dynamo: 0 (0%)

Biggest win FC Krasnodar 4:0 (13.08 17:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (4:0, 13.08 17:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 4

Match history

13.08 17:45 UTC

Cup

FC Krasnodar

4:0

Dinamo