Cup
Cup Russia
23.10.2024 18:15 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

FC Krasnodar - Nizhny Novgorod

Russia Futbol
FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar
1 : 2
Finished
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Krasnodar - Nizhny Novgorod 23 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Krasnodar.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Krasnodar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.24 / X 6.19 / 2 11.86
  • 1X2 market: FC Krasnodar 76.6% / X 15.4% / Nizhny Novgorod 8.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 76.6%
X 15.4%
2 8.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 58.5%
Under 2.5 41.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.10.2024 18:15 UTC
Match center

FC Krasnodar - Nizhny Novgorod

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.19 market consensus · line only
1 1.24 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.24 80.7%
Х 6.19 16.2%
П2 11.86 8.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 4.21 23.8%
home_away 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.06 94.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.64 61.0%
ТМ 2.5 2.31 43.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.07 93.5%
П2 10.02 10.0%
Match center
FC Krasnodar
L L
02.10 18:15 UTC Cup
FC Krasnodar 0:3 AkhmatAkhmat
18.09 16:00 UTC Cup
FC Krasnodar 0:2 ЦСКА МоскваЦСКА Москва
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
0 Points
Nizhny Novgorod
L L
01.10 17:45 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 0:2 ЦСКА МоскваЦСКА Москва
19.09 15:30 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 1:2 AkhmatAkhmat
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points