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Cup
Cup Russia
22.10.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

FC Rostov - Nizhny Novgorod

Russia Football
FC Rostov
FC Rostov
4 : 1
Finished
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Rostov - Nizhny Novgorod October 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Rostov.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Rostov. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.18 / 2 6.51
  • 1X2 market: FC Rostov 63.1% / X 22.4% / Nizhny Novgorod 14.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.9%
1 63.2%
X 22.4%
2 14.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 49.1%
Under 2.5 50.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.10.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

FC Rostov - Nizhny Novgorod

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.51 market consensus · line only
X 4.18 market consensus · line only
1 1.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.61 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.63 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.55 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Dafabet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO
1.44 69.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.40 71.4%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.38 22.8% 4.10 24.4% 4.30 23.3% 4.26 23.5% 3.80 26.3%
5.90 17.0% 7.32 13.7% 6.00 16.7% 7.20 13.9% 6.93 14.4% 5.80 17.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.74 57.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.02 49.5% 2.09 47.9% 2.09 47.9% 2.15 46.5% 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus Superbet
draw_away 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.68 37.3% 2.44 41.0% 2.68 37.3% 2.45 40.8%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.04 96.2% 1.12 89.3% 1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 1.16 86.2%
Over 1.5 1.29 77.5%
Over 1.75 1.36 73.5%
Over 2.0 1.47 68.0%
Over 2.25 1.72 58.1%
Over 2.5 1.86 53.8% 2.03 49.3%
Over 2.75 2.20 45.5%
Over 3.0 2.67 37.5%
Over 3.25 2.95 33.9%
Over 3.5 3.30 30.3%
Over 3.75 4.05 24.7%
Over 4.0 5.40 18.5%
Over 4.25 5.70 17.5%
Under 2.5 1.96 51.0%
Match center
FC Rostov
D W L L L
02.10 16:30 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 1:1 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
18.09 17:45 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 2:1 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
27.08 17:45 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 1:3 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
14.08 16:30 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 0:1 Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
30.07 17:45 UTC Cup
FC Rostov 0:2 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Nizhny Novgorod
L L L W L
01.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 1:2 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
16.09 17:45 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 1:2 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
26.08 17:45 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 0:4 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
14.08 16:30 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 1:0 FC RostovFC Rostov
30.07 15:30 UTC Cup
Nizhny Novgorod 0:1 Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Rostov - Nizhny Novgorod

FC Rostov
1 matches total
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Rostov: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nizhny Novgorod: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Nizhny Novgorod 0:1 (14.08 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 14.08 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

14.08 16:30 UTC Cup
FC Rostov
0:1
Nizhny Novgorod