Cup
Cup Russia
16.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

FC Sochi - Volga Ulyanovsk

Russia Futbol
FC Sochi
FC Sochi
2 : 0
Finished
Volga Ulyanovsk
Volga Ulyanovsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Sochi - Volga Ulyanovsk 16 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Sochi.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Sochi. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 3.98 / 2 5.80
  • 1X2 market: FC Sochi 61.1% / X 23.1% / Volga Ulyanovsk 15.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 61.1%
X 23.0%
2 15.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.8%
Over 2.5 53.6%
Under 2.5 46.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

FC Sochi - Volga Ulyanovsk

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.80 market consensus · line only
X 3.98 market consensus · line only
1 1.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.38 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.50 66.7%
Х 3.98 25.1%
П2 5.80 17.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.38 42.0%
home_away 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.73 57.8%
ТМ 2.5 2.00 50.0%

Total

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 0.5 1.59 62.9%
ТМ 0.5 2.15 46.5%
Match center
FC Sochi
W
24.09 11:00 UTC Cup
FC Sochi 5:0 Kuban Kholding
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Volga Ulyanovsk
D W
24.09 16:30 UTC Cup
Volga Ulyanovsk 1:1 Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd
04.09 14:00 UTC Cup
Volga Ulyanovsk 7:0 Dinamo KirovDinamo Kirov
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Sochi - Volga Ulyanovsk

FC Sochi
0 matches total
Volga Ulyanovsk
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history