Cup
Cup Russia
15.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

FC UFA - Shinnik Yaroslavl

Russia Futbol
FC UFA
FC UFA
0 : 1
Finished
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC UFA - Shinnik Yaroslavl 15 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC UFA.

Line favourite market consensus: FC UFA. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.02 / X 3.06 / 2 3.74
  • 1X2 market: FC UFA 45.5% / X 30.0% / Shinnik Yaroslavl 24.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 45.4%
X 30.0%
2 24.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Match center

FC UFA - Shinnik Yaroslavl

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.74 market consensus · line only
X 3.06 market consensus · line only
1 2.02 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.69 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.02 49.5%
Х 3.06 32.7%
П2 3.74 26.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.69 59.2%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 1.5 1.51 66.2%
ТМ 1.5 2.40 41.7%

Total

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 0.5 1.62 61.7%
ТМ 0.5 2.11 47.4%
Match center
FC UFA
D
25.09 15:00 UTC Cup
FC UFA 1:1 Volgar AstrakhanVolgar Astrakhan
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Shinnik Yaroslavl
D
25.09 09:00 UTC Cup
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0:0 Dinamo Vladivostok
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC UFA - Shinnik Yaroslavl

FC UFA
0 matches total
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history