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Cup Russia

29.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Not started

Cup

Kirovets Voskhozhdenie - FC Tosno

Russia Football

Kirovets Voskhozhdenie

- : -

Not started

FC Tosno

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 FC Tosno — 50%

Pure model vs market (2 · FC Tosno): model 33% · market 51% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kirovets Voskhozhdenie23.7%

X · draw26.1%

2 · FC Tosno50.2%

Model estimate: win Kirovets Voskhozhdenie 23.7%, draw 26.1%, win FC Tosno 50.2%. Model favourite — FC Tosno.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2FC Tosno (odds1.81) Score 1:2 Over 2.5 (odds1.90) confidence 50%

• Model backs FC Tosno: probability 50% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.81)
• no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:2
• Total: Over 2.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
• at line 2.5 (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kirovets Voskhozhdenie - FC Tosno July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: FC Tosno. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.00 / X 3.40 / 2 1.76

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.2%

1 22.5%

X 26.4%

2 51.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 4.00 → 4.00

1X2 X 3.40 → 3.40

1X2 P2 1.76 → 1.76

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Kirovets Voskhozhdenie 1 : 1 FC Tosno

14.22

X3.45

21.75

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 29.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Kirovets Voskhozhdenie - FC Tosno

Football, Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie - Tosno, 29 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie - Tosno, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Fonbet Cup Russia 2026/2027, 1 round.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Match Participants Line Movement Overview

More needed

Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Kirovets Voskhozhdenie 22.3% 23.7%

Draw 26.4% 26.1% draw risk

FC Tosno 51.3% 50.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 23.7% / 26.1% / 50.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Kirovets Voskhozhdenie / FC Tosno

RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.76 Fonbet · no value · model 50.2%

X 3.40 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 4.00 Fonbet · no value · model 23.7%

Double chance

12 1.22 Fonbet · no value · model 73.9%

1X 1.85 Fonbet · no value · model 49.8%

X2 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 76.3%

Handicap

2 -1 1.05 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 2.45 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.33 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 7.00 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.90 52.6%	1.95 51.3%
yes	1.80 55.6%	1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.24 80.7%	1.26 79.4%	1.22 82.0%
1x	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%
x2	1.18 84.8%	1.19 84.0%	1.16 86.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	4.89 20.5%
X	2.24 44.6%
	2.42 41.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.92 52.1%
Under 1	1.89 52.9%

Match center

Kirovets Voskhozhdenie

Country Russia

FC Tosno

Country Russia

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKirovets Voskhozhdenie - FC Tosno

Kirovets Voskhozhdenie

0 matches total

FC Tosno

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Kirovets Voskhozhdenie

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 FC Tosno

0 Games 0

0 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

0 Losses 0

0 Scored 0

0 Conceded 0

0 Points 0

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

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