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Cup Russia

29.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Not started

Cup

Kristall MEZ - Salyut-Belgorod

Russia Football

Kristall MEZ

- : -

Not started

Salyut-Belgorod

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Salyut-Belgorod — 56%

Pure model vs market (2 · Salyut-Belgorod): model 29% · market 57% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kristall MEZ22.4%

X · draw21.4%

2 · Salyut-Belgorod56.2%

Model estimate: win Kristall MEZ 22.4%, draw 21.4%, win Salyut-Belgorod 56.2%. Model favourite — Salyut-Belgorod.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Salyut-Belgorod (odds1.59) Score 1:2 Under 3.5 (odds2.25) Handicap H1 +1.5 (odds1.55) confidence 56%

• liniya na pik P2 1.40→1.56 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
• Model backs Salyut-Belgorod: probability 56% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
• no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:2
• Total: Under 3.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
• at line 3.5 (odds 2.25)
• Handicap F1 +1.5: score forecast 1:2 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.55).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kristall MEZ - Salyut-Belgorod July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Salyut-Belgorod. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.40 / X 4.30 / 2 1.62

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.7%

1 21.1%

X 21.6%

2 57.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 5.70 ↓ 4.30

1X2 X 4.50 ↓ 4.20

1X2 P2 1.40 ↑ 1.56

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

LIVE

Now in play

score 0:0 · 1'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

21% 22% 57%

Kristall MEZ (1) Draw (X) Salyut-Belgorod (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

LIVE

Match momentum (live)

0:0 1'

Kristall MEZ Salyut-Belgorod

0Shots on target0

0Corners0

0Fouls0

Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.

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Match center

Start 29.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Kristall MEZ - Salyut-Belgorod

Form 4/3 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Kristall MEZ 20.8% 22.4%

Draw 21.3% 21.4% draw risk

Salyut-Belgorod 57.9% 56.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 22.4% / 21.4% / 56.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,530 / 1,449 Kristall MEZ / Salyut-Belgorod

RD 233 / 239 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,064-1,996 / 971-1,928 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.62 Fonbet · no value · model 56.2%

X 4.30 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 4.40 Fonbet · no value · model 22.4%

Double chance

12 1.18 Fonbet · no value · model 78.6%

1X 2.15 Fonbet · no value · model 43.8%

X2 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 77.6%

Handicap

2 -1 1.92 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.90 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.30 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 3.50 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.80 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.38 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	2.80 35.7%	3.23 31.0%
yes	1.38 72.5%	1.35 74.1%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.17 85.5%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%
1x	2.15 46.5%	2.16 46.3%	2.15 46.5%
x2	1.16 86.2%	1.18 84.8%	1.17 85.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	4.47 22.4%
X	2.84 35.2%
	2.04 49.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	1.81 55.3%
Under 1.5	2.02 49.5%

Match center

Kristall MEZ

Country Russia

Salyut-Belgorod

Country Russia

Match center

Kristall MEZ

L W W W

24.09 16:00 UTC Cup

Kristall MEZ 1:3 Torpedo Moskva

10.09 16:30 UTC Cup

Kristall MEZ 1:0 FK Spartak Tambov

20.08 16:00 UTC Cup

Kristall MEZ 3:2 Murom

05.08 17:15 UTC Cup

Kristall MEZ 3:1 Shumbrat

3 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.5 Conceded

9 Points

Salyut-Belgorod

L W L

11.09 14:00 UTC Cup

Salyut-Belgorod 1:2 Amkal

19.08 13:00 UTC Cup

Salyut-Belgorod 3:0 Ryazan

04.09 15:30 UTC Cup

Salyut-Belgorod 2:4 Orel

1 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

2.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKristall MEZ - Salyut-Belgorod

Kristall MEZ

0 matches total

Salyut-Belgorod

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Kristall MEZ - Salyut-Belgorod

AI match prediction Kristall MEZ - Salyut-Belgorod July 29, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Now in play

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

Match momentum (live)

Buy the full AI analysis

Kristall MEZ - Salyut-Belgorod

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history