Match center
Start
29.07.2026 15:00 UTC
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29.07.2026 15:00 UTC
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Cup
Kristall - Znamya Noginsk
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Znamya Noginsk — 58%
Pure model vs market (2 · Znamya Noginsk): model 40% · market 62% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Kristall 17.0%, draw 25.5%, win Znamya Noginsk 57.5%. Model favourite — Znamya Noginsk.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Znamya Noginsk (odds1.54)
Score 1:2
Under 3.5
(odds1.95)
confidence 58%
- • Model backs Znamya Noginsk: probability 58% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.54)
- • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:2
- • Total: Under 3.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
- • at line 3.5 (odds 1.95).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Kristall - Znamya Noginsk July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Znamya Noginsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.20 / X 3.80 / 2 1.46
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.9%
1
14.5%
X
23.7%
2
61.7%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1
5.70
→ 5.70
1X2 X
3.50
→ 3.50
1X2 P2
1.53
→ 1.53
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Kristall
2
:
2
Znamya Noginsk
16.77
X3.90
21.49
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Kristall - Znamya Noginsk
Form
1/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
Overview
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Kristall
15.7%
17.0%
Draw
25.6%
25.5%
draw risk
Znamya Noginsk
58.6%
57.5%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
17.0% / 25.5% / 57.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,353 / 1,507
Kristall / Znamya Noginsk
RD
289 / 266
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
775-1,930 / 974-2,039
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.46
Fonbet · no value · model 57.5%
X
3.80
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
6.20
Fonbet · no value · model 17.0%
Double chance
12
1.18
Fonbet · no value · model 74.5%
1X
2.35
Fonbet · no value · model 42.5%
X2
1.05
Fonbet · no value · model 83.0%
Handicap
2 -1
1.70
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.70
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.15
Fonbet · line only
1 +1
2.03
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.30
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
3.10
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.65
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.42
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.65 37.7% | 2.65 37.7% |
| yes | 1.42 70.4% | 1.42 70.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.18 84.8% |
| 1x | 2.35 42.6% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.35 42.6% |
| x2 | 1.07 93.5% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.05 95.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.10 19.6% | |
| X | 2.90 34.5% |
| 1.75 57.1% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.15 87.0% |
| Under 0.5 | 4.50 22.2% |
Match center
Kristall
Country
Russia
Znamya Noginsk
Country
Russia
Match center
Kristall
L
07.08 14:15 UTC
Cup
Kristall
1:3
Luki-Energiya
Luki-Energiya
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
0
Points
Znamya Noginsk
L
W
20.08 15:00 UTC
Cup
Znamya Noginsk
0:2
Veles
Veles
06.08 13:00 UTC
Cup
Znamya Noginsk
3:0
Kolomna
Kolomna
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.5
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyKristall - Znamya Noginsk
Kristall
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Kristall - Znamya Noginsk breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form