Cup
Cup Russia
02.10.2024 16:00 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Krylia Sovetov - Dinamo Makhachkala

Russia Futbol
Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov
3 : 3
Finished
Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Krylia Sovetov - Dinamo Makhachkala 2 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Krylia Sovetov.

Line favourite market consensus: Krylia Sovetov. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.36 / X 3.17 / 2 3.35
  • 1X2 market: Krylia Sovetov 40.8% / X 30.4% / Dinamo Makhachkala 28.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 40.8%
X 30.4%
2 28.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5 43.1%
Under 2.5 56.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.10.2024 16:00 UTC
Match center

Krylia Sovetov - Dinamo Makhachkala

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.35 market consensus · line only
X 3.17 market consensus · line only
1 2.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.36 42.4%
Х 3.17 31.6%
П2 3.35 29.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.35 74.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.23 44.8%
ТМ 2.5 1.69 59.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.63 61.4%
П2 2.33 42.9%
Match center
Krylia Sovetov
L
19.09 17:45 UTC Cup
Krylia Sovetov 1:4 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
Dinamo Makhachkala
D
18.09 18:15 UTC Cup
Dinamo Makhachkala 2:2 DinamoDinamo
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points