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Cup
Cup Russia
19.03.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

Cup

Russia

Krylia Sovetov - Lokomotiv

Russia Football
Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov
2 : 2
Finished
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Krylia Sovetov - Lokomotiv March 19, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lokomotiv.

Line favourite market consensus: Lokomotiv. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.69 / X 3.88 / 2 1.72
  • 1X2 market: Krylia Sovetov 20.4% / X 24.4% / Lokomotiv 55.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 20.3%
X 24.5%
2 55.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5 52.7%
Under 2.5 47.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.03.2026 15:30 UTC
Match center

Krylia Sovetov - Lokomotiv

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.72 market consensus · line only
X 3.88 market consensus · line only
1 4.69 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 2.25 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.18 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 4.16 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.01 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
3.65 27.4% 5.18 19.3% 5.10 19.6% 4.90 20.4% 4.39 22.8% 4.90 20.4%
X 3.55 28.2% 4.07 24.6% 4.00 25.0% 4.08 24.5% 3.52 28.4% 4.08 24.5%
1.91 52.4% 1.72 58.1% 1.69 59.2% 1.68 59.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.04 49.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.96 51.0% 2.04 49.0%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SBO SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.19 84.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.20 83.3%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.26 79.4% 1.18 84.8% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 2.25 44.4% 2.24 44.6% 2.24 44.6% 2.28 43.9% 2.24 44.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0%
Over 1.75 1.28 78.1%
Over 2.0 1.35 74.1%
Over 2.25 1.56 64.1%
Over 2.5 1.96 51.0% 1.84 54.4%
Over 2.75 1.97 50.8%
Over 3.0 2.29 43.7%
Over 3.25 2.59 38.6%
Over 3.5 2.86 35.0%
Over 3.75 3.44 29.1%
Over 4.0 4.55 22.0%
Over 4.25 4.85 20.6%
Under 2.5 1.93 51.8%
Match center
Krylia Sovetov
W D L D L
04.03 15:30 UTC Cup
Krylia Sovetov 2:0 FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
27.11 15:00 UTC Cup
Krylia Sovetov 1:1 KAMAZKAMAZ
22.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Krylia Sovetov 0:4 DinamoDinamo
01.10 15:00 UTC Cup
Krylia Sovetov 3:3 FC SochiFC Sochi
17.09 15:00 UTC Cup
Krylia Sovetov 1:2 FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
5 Points
Lokomotiv
W L L W D
05.03 15:30 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 2:1 Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
26.11 17:30 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 2:3 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
06.11 16:30 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 1:3 Spartak MoskvaSpartak Moskva
23.10 18:00 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 2:1 BaltikaBaltika
01.10 17:30 UTC Cup
Lokomotiv 0:0 CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKrylia Sovetov - Lokomotiv

Krylia Sovetov
0 matches total
Lokomotiv
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history